MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95dcd67802fd52bb697238db0642af5d68caf281940c8e82aba31ae926801655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,797
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 49c | 129,426$63,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66,079.36 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 51c | 81,515$41,699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,699.15 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 51c | 20,278$10,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,341.78 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 49c | 8,541$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 51c | 8,501$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,330.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 6,991$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,537.72 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Under | 51c | 3,815$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.61 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 3,379$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.01 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 2,384$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Over | 58c | 1,455$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.13 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 51c | 1,387$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.47 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 50c | 1,167$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.5 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 53c | 1,024$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.72 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Under | 51c | 993.18$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.52 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Under | 53c | 928.13$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.91 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 47c | 802.77$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.47 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 50c | 768.58$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.16 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a26…1589backed Over | 52c | 696.15$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.15 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…540abacked Under | 43c | 627.94$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 51c | 615$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.22 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 456$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.62 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Under | 55c | 351.5$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.79 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafca…92b4backed Over | 60c | 301.52$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.61 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 33c | 220.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…7a58backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 16c | 199$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 195.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 27c | 182.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Over | 50c | 141.35$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 49c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.1 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 70c | 124.34$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 63c | 124$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.94 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 120$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.8 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 51c | 102.07$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Under | 29c | 100.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Over | 50c | 99.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 241 | 49%118 W · 123 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 63c | 78.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Under | 51c | 78.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 51c | 72.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.63 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Under | 52c | 66.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Over | 46c | 61.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 51c | 59.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…e36dbacked Under | 52c | 53.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 48.61$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 44c | 46.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 51c | 46.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Over | 48c | 45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31ff…7b20backed Over | 46c | 42.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Under | 45c | 35.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 54c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Under | 51c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over | 48c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 121 | 40.5%49 W · 72 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked Over | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 21.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 51c | 20.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…1f67backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…e19bbacked Under | 51c | 19.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 78c | 15.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.