MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85e5017757ecec387eff7aae033608734a38132f89376e0a66eb44d89cbe1666
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,474
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,474 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 56c | 14,100$7,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,265.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Under | 26c | 9,611$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 7,012$3,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,369.89 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 62c | 2,900$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafee…881ebacked Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Over | 37c | 1,971$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,241.73 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 19c | 1,863$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.43 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 63c | 1,776$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.84 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Over | 80c | 1,755$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.52 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Under | 17c | 1,200$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 64c | 1,024$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.36 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 1,000$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.18 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 821.51$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.11 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac65…cfe6backed Under | 65c | 786.1$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 137 | 59.1%81 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 37c | 746.17$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.09 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 70c | 593$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 53c | 524.52$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.52 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 64c | 500$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.17 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 407.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.11 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 62c | 390$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 36c | 305.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.57 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Over | 38c | 263.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under | 30c | 233.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.81 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 34c | 228.38$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.73 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 77c | 115.29$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.94 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 47c | 113.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 37c | 109.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.38 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Over | 71c | 106.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 36c | 97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 63c | 88.73$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.49 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 40c | 88.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…2a3bbacked Over | 38c | 85.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 31c | 84.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 66c | 81$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 62c | 65.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.56 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Over | 70c | 63.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 47c | 53.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…1a59backed Over | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 45c | 38.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 57c | 37.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 70c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 70c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Over | 70c | 35.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x468e…4271backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Over | 70c | 32.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Over | 49c | 26.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205d…2ad2backed Under | 64c | 16.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 65c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 9.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 10.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 11.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 12.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 13.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-4.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco GiantsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.