MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b084d57febae61805613a6df813cd9f8652dfd6e9a82b7f69f817fb55b15d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $350,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $350,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7f8e…4487backed Under | 54c | 251,100$135,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135,593.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 46c | 216,543$99,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117,068.01 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 22,000$9,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,020 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…6de5backed Under | 0c | 20,099$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.24per pick | 50cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Over | 46c | 14,927$6,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,109.78 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 55c | 12,138$6,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,671.98 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Under | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 7,168$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,897.77 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 6,985$3,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,775.87 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Under | 53c | 6,118$3,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.39 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 46c | 5,800$2,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,132 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 46c | 5,722$2,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.73 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 4,375$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.25 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 3,447$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.17 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 53c | 3,201$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.33 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Over | 46c | 2,773$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.63 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 2,152$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.52 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 55c | 2,117$1,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.44 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 62c | 2,011$1,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.13 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.14 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 52c | 1,718$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.98 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 1,529$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.84 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 46c | 1,216$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.9 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 1,073$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.95 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Over | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.01 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 52c | 1,045$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.38 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 1,029$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.91 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 46c | 816.1$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 46c | 780$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Under | 51c | 687$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.37 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 46c | 652$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.08 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 48c | 599.33$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.65 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 46c | 558$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.06 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 62c | 484.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.48 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 477$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 45c | 472.26$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.74 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 447.77$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 45c | 403.68$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 51c | 400.25$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.74 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Over | 45c | 378.78$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.33 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 40c | 319.89$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 46c | 286.09$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.49 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 47c | 257.19$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.2 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c81…8f47backed Under | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 64c | 203.68$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.87 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Under | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 47c | 197.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.93 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1f…a7d2backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 62c | 185.95$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 8c | 177$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 61c | 163.59$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Over | 47c | 158.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.07 | 215 | 50.2%108 W · 107 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Over | 45c | 156$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 8c | 152$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 47c | 148.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.49 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Under | 25c | 132.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +8.9wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 41c | 131.25$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.81 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Over | 40c | 124.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.73 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x765b…5043backed Under | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 46c | 111.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 44c | 101$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.56 | 570 | 46.8%267 W · 303 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Over | 46c | 98.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.98 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Under | 56c | 95.22$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.39 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8785…49b1backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Over | 47c | 90.76$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.1 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 46c | 86.06$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.06 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 47c | 83.55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 64c | 77.09$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 36c | 75.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 48c | 75.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.25 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 51c | 71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 48c | 69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 47c | 61.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 46c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298f…b4e1backed Over | 46c | 54.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 52c | 52.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 55c | 51.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.19 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Under | 51c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.01 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 46c | 42.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 47c | 42.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Under | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked Over | 46c | 40.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 53.3%64 W · 56 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…4c4abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 47c | 33.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 55c | 32.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 44c | 31.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 55c | 30.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…c664backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | -46.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 46c | 28.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 27.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5this page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysTampa Bay Rays won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-5.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.