MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24afbaf5bbbcbece7e5125f0da84b36d945147e5042fcedce7689c1d7d8e8e45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Cleveland Guardians, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $542,907
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $625,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $542,907 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 159,775$87,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,898.89 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 102,249$57,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,989.77 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 50,000$22,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,499.96 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 45,000$25,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,800 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe55a…ecf7backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 24,370$10,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,722.9 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 16,644$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.69 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 13,894$6,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,249.36 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.97 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 31c | 7,962$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 7,296$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,249.28 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 6,600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 6,581$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,860.93 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,699$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,564.64 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 5,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,199.99 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Cleveland Guardians | 1c | 4,978$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Cleveland Guardians | 0c | 4,564$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,514$1,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.14 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3f…6deebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 4,146$1,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.59 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,919$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.74 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb5…d57abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,866$1,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,737.79 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 3,549$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.22 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…68cabacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 2,889$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.53 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.83 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 2,646$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.83 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…dbabbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 2,636$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.86 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 2,450$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,328$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.67 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd0…fe12backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,677$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.7 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,536$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.13 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,333$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,299$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.18 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a1…1227backed Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 1,289$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.91 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e73…ac97backed Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 11c | 1,214$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…97b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 1,200$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,200$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,158$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.08 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…e8a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,125$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,077$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.47 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc306…accdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 999.99$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 54 | 74.1%40 W · 14 L | +9.7wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cleveland Guardians | 34c | 916.16$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 905.81$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.44 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 870.38$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.97 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 864.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.18 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Cleveland Guardians | 24c | 837.32$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Cleveland Guardians | 6c | 835.57$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 799.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.99 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 778$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.1 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 699.99$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e4a…e15cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 2c | 653.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 620$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 620$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12dc…75a8backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 550$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 520.54$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.04 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc521…b46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 466.02$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.71 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…2b48backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 441$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.04 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 440.27$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 429.88$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.15 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Cleveland Guardians | 26c | 420.27$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.24 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 420$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.9 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 375.45$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.2 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 365$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.03 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 364.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Cleveland Guardians | 27c | 354.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 1,038 | 51.7%537 W · 501 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 341.01$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.8 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 10c | 325.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 79c | 308$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 295$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.75 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 288.21$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 283.6$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.78 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 279.93$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.97 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 273.11$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 263$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 250.01$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e68…3772backed Cleveland Guardians | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 249 | 47%117 W · 132 L | +15.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 233.33$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 228$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 220.98$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.23 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Tampa Bay Rays | 80c | 217$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 205.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.34 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aca…61fdbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 200.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 274 | 54.4%149 W · 125 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…651abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 11.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 12.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 6.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-4.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-5.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.