MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xddff5bf0a6eeb66f9dace592a9963161952a9a07e333c9474f4fa4da023bc58f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $450,290
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $459,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $450,290 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 211,111$97,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113,999.89 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 79,458$42,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,923.55 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 49,841$23,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,320.78 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Houston Astros | 46c | 28,039$12,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,131.29 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 26,163$14,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,184.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 22,000$11,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,880 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago White Sox | 50c | 19,496$9,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,687.03 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86d2…731dbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 15,396$8,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,468.03 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Houston Astros | 45c | 15,000$6,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,249.88 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 45c | 14,834$6,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,158.84 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,400 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 8,994$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,946.67 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 7,311$3,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.01 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 6,753$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.61 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 6,524$3,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,522.96 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 4,934$2,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.12 | 447 | 49.2%220 W · 227 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Chicago White Sox | 56c | 4,005$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.39 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Chicago White Sox | 3c | 3,129$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.94 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Chicago White Sox | 3c | 2,786$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 2,747$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.03 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 2,560$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…a10abacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,722$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.1 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,672$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.82 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…92d2backed Houston Astros | 68c | 1,453$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.82 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,374$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.92 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,364$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago White Sox | 15c | 1,363$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Chicago White Sox | 75c | 1,207$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…244dbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 67c | 1,188$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.36 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Chicago White Sox | 66c | 1,051$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.34 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 975$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 972$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.88 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 909$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Chicago White Sox | 38c | 885.12$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.33 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49e…e5e8backed Houston Astros | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Chicago White Sox | 18c | 821$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.74 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 811.01$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Chicago White Sox | 8c | 799.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Chicago White Sox | 52c | 791.06$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.91 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Chicago White Sox | 53c | 698.29$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.1 | 260 | 56.5%147 W · 113 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…b9e3backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 685$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.75 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c57…e81abacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 683.64$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Chicago White Sox | 58c | 679.32$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.07 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 646.03$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.61 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Houston Astros | 33c | 617.81$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.14 | 157 | 51.6%81 W · 76 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Chicago White Sox | 44c | 598.73$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.8 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 596.39$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.05 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Houston Astros | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Chicago White Sox | 13c | 547.02$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 540$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 540$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Houston Astros | 46c | 513.33$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.2 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…712dbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 469.99$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.49 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a7…1fdbbacked Chicago White Sox | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 443.68$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.02 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Chicago White Sox | 69c | 428$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.32 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Houston Astros | 18c | 414.02$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.6 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 46c | 411.02$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.86 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Chicago White Sox | 40c | 400$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Chicago White Sox | 40c | 388.24$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.09 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Chicago White Sox | 13c | 388.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x94ad…41e0backed Chicago White Sox | 77c | 383.23$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 342.51$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.38 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Chicago White Sox | 47c | 322.7$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Chicago White Sox | 42c | 317.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.69 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Chicago White Sox | 38c | 301.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Chicago White Sox | 54c | 299.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 299.38$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.17 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 17c | 293.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Chicago White Sox | 55c | 290.91$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Chicago White Sox | 61c | 279.13$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.37 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Chicago White Sox | 53c | 277$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.81 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…66f7backed Chicago White Sox | 19c | 275.18$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros | 46c | 273.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.87 | 589 | 43.1%254 W · 335 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a76…3c34backed Chicago White Sox | 55c | 270$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…6f15backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Houston Astros | 34c | 258.26$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.36 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Chicago White Sox | 57c | 239.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.79 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Chicago White Sox | 6c | 237.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Chicago White Sox | 64c | 234$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 209 | 44%92 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Chicago White Sox | 34c | 225.19$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Houston Astros | 45c | 222.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.64 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Houston Astros | 45c | 222.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…d7cdbacked Houston Astros | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9a…0bf3backed Houston Astros | 46c | 215.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Chicago White Sox | 56c | 214.32$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Soxthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 14.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.