MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5c029ec3366f71be9c913dfdeaf9431cad05f0e169af08b1a59e920681aa9bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 48c | 56,295$27,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,292.67 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 53c | 16,410$8,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,749.16 | 11,519 | 52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L | +213.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 51c | 5,898$3,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,890.32 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 5,676$2,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,859.99 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 52c | 4,495$2,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157 | 3,509 | 51%1,789 W · 1,720 L | +53.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 51c | 4,434$2,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.78 | 1,586 | 48.5%770 W · 816 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Over | 54c | 4,094$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.31 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 3,072$1,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.6 | 2,311 | 51%1,179 W · 1,132 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 51c | 2,573$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,251.09 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 52c | 2,293$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.18 | 647 | 52.4%339 W · 308 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 42c | 2,062$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$865.46 | 8,594 | 52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L | +508.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 54c | 1,996$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.3 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 47c | 1,900$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.98 | 460 | 48.5%223 W · 237 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Under | 46c | 1,880$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 46c | 1,434$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.67 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 53c | 1,346$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.69 | 570 | 53.3%304 W · 266 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Over | 52c | 1,054$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.13 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 52c | 1,043$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.64 | 686 | 52.9%363 W · 323 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1,855 | 44%817 W · 1,038 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 53c | 961.54$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.92 | 878 | 50.5%443 W · 435 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 54c | 763.02$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.44 | 3,041 | 48%1,461 W · 1,580 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 14c | 760$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.9 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 46c | 750.66$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Over | 45c | 736.27$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.95 | 1,139 | 42.7%486 W · 653 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 53c | 655.73$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.04 | 274 | 49.3%135 W · 139 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 615.43$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.31 | 8,403 | 47.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L | +76.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 52c | 585$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.8 | 1,635 | 49.3%806 W · 829 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 439.93$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.81 | 4,368 | 47.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L | -79.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 52c | 339.73$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.67 | 671 | 52.5%352 W · 319 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 453 | 58.7%266 W · 187 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Over | 53c | 283.51$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.25 | 410 | 48.3%198 W · 212 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 53c | 280$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Over | 52c | 275$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 53c | 256$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.32 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 46c | 227.89$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.83 | 3,841 | 42.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 17c | 227.41$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.97 | 5,812 | 43.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L | -188.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…296fbacked Under | 49c | 203.8$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 318 | 44%140 W · 178 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 48c | 198$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 1,848 | 49.6%917 W · 931 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ae…76c6backed Over | 54c | 189$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.94 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 47c | 161.29$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.81 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 51c | 136$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.64 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Under | 45c | 114.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 47c | 114$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Under | 55c | 106.22$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 56c | 104.62$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.42 | 795 | 55.6%442 W · 353 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Over | 51c | 103.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Under | 47c | 101.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 965 | 53%511 W · 454 L | +18.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 551 | 46.8%258 W · 293 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 56c | 96.42$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,588 | 61.5%1,591 W · 997 L | +72.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4318…9a94backed Under | 43c | 96.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 54c | 94.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 53c | 92.32$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 60c | 91.65$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 42c | 81.73$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 2,172 | 39.9%866 W · 1,306 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Over | 54c | 79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.34 | 267 | 51.7%138 W · 129 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 47c | 78.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 52c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Under | 47c | 69.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 65.26$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…f087backed Over | 61c | 62.3$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -8.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Over | 53c | 61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 52c | 56.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 53c | 53.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 3,460 | 51.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L | +107.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 56c | 52.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 1,737 | 49.1%852 W · 885 L | +7.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Over | 52c | 52.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Under | 45c | 51.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 53c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…59f9backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…b6e1backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Under | 56c | 45.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 2,413 | 49.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L | +22.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 53c | 39.47$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 1,278 | 57%728 W · 550 L | +33.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…a79abacked Over | 48c | 33.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 45c | 33.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 2,044 | 39.5%808 W · 1,236 L | -24.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…cc57backed Over | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 54c | 29.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Over | 53c | 29.42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 1,040 | 51.8%539 W · 501 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 47c | 28.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 52c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1,884 | 53%998 W · 886 L | +16.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce9…7115backed Over | 53c | 27.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.82 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Over | 51c | 25.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 425 | 48.2%205 W · 220 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 46c | 22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 54c | 20.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 595 | 34.5%205 W · 390 L | -22.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23df…640abacked Over | 51c | 20.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 416 | 48.8%203 W · 213 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 13.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 14.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Chicago White Sox (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Chicago White SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.