WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dd28bbf0d4dd42571552cf50ada5a83e5a08c6c7aa48b72cc0daf4f6a3fe605
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 53c | 8,306$4,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,903.82 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 47c | 7,116$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,354.98 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 47c | 3,941$1,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.57 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 3,094$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.66 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Under | 52c | 939$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.72 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Under | 53c | 810.81$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.59 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…84a7backed Under | 54c | 734.43$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 46c | 683.32$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.33 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 51c | 645.95$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.52 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 75c | 606.25$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.22 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 476$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.76 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 459.89$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.77 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 3c | 390.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 46c | 326.08$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 31c | 283.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 47c | 256$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.32 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6f…9f0abacked Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 75c | 218$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.14 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 296 | 54.4%161 W · 135 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 22c | 208.69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.04 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf5…d359backed Under | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…425abacked Under | 47c | 197.56$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 53c | 184.06$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.55 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 60c | 90.46$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 49c | 89.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.39 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 52c | 79.97$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Over | 25c | 63.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 176 | 56.8%100 W · 76 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03dd…49c8backed Over | 48c | 49.63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Under | 53c | 46.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 46c | 46.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 53c | 42.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 38.86$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Over | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.47 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Over | 49c | 36.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x657c…66a3backed Under | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 55c | 20.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 165.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.