WNBA · resolved market
Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4e4a786e584bc791d12fb855667dcd546d0affcfb9e95916f5f11e2db5d7c2b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 58c | 1,332$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +6.8wins | +0.18per pick | 60cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa9…58eebacked Yes | 42c | 402.38$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.38 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Yes | 42c | 323.07$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9208…08c5backed Yes | 40c | 248.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Yes | 42c | 205$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d4…c239backed Yes | 40c | 170$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…8eefbacked Yes | 42c | 113.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.8 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 57c | 67.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked No | 55c | 59.98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 61 | 75.4%46 W · 15 L | +10.3wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…79c3backed Yes | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5this page
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 165.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.