WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b7520bb67b31c5116691d7296c5c70ee71c9032f1a4bcc885108347eed30949
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 49c | 29,701$14,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,553.3 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 51c | 21,338$10,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,455.61 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Under | 52c | 9,615$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,615.36 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Over | 48c | 5,677$2,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,724.75 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 51c | 3,931$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.16 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 51c | 1,806$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.06 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 1,766$901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.37 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 48c | 1,741$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.79 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Under | 53c | 1,684$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 1,328$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.51 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 57c | 1,304$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.16 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…eb35backed Over | 50c | 959$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 38c | 917.66$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 828.76$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.35 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Over | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Over | 49c | 510.2$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 476.19$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.33 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 53c | 442.98$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.2 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Over | 47c | 423.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd03…60fbbacked Under | 58c | 353.6$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…fb89backed Under | 57c | 264.47$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.72 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 264.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 48c | 229.18$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474a…a275backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3b…8f52backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe426…f4ffbacked Over | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Over | 48c | 198.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Under | 53c | 188.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Over | 47c | 134$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…425abacked Over | 49c | 120.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8541…5c16backed Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 28c | 109.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4c…6047backed Over | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 104.06$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffa3…08f0backed Under | 52c | 82.17$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Over | 49c | 73.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 45c | 66.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 54.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 237 | 46.4%110 W · 127 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | -10.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 47c | 46.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a4d…3970backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…c64abacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbef…848cbacked Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…7e2bbacked Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Over | 49c | 39.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee8…9197backed Over | 49c | 37.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 53c | 37.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…cf59backed Over | 49c | 37.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…4bb6backed Over | 49c | 32.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…eeb9backed Over | 48c | 30.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4548…e4b5backed Over | 48c | 29.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 51c | 29.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 49c | 28.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83b…2153backed Under | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 165.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.