WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 165.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90dd77e73dae28678acc4b02994d6531229d81cef6c4a9753eef1cf14f8e071b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,001
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Over | 46c | 4,027$1,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,852.56 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over | 52c | 2,241$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.41 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 2,227$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.53 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 52c | 1,871$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.2 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 1,671$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.81 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…a55abacked Under | 57c | 1,228$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…9486backed Over | 9c | 1,100$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Over | 50c | 1,000$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.86 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Over | 53c | 951$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…67bbbacked Over | 53c | 818.3$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 10c | 799$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 620.02$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.21 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 619.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 75c | 507.32$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.41 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8077…ffefbacked Under | 42c | 462.47$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.23 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +8.0wins | +0.42per pick | 37cpaid | +163.8%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…c938backed Under | 58c | 414.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…56ffbacked Under | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d35…06b5backed Over | 42c | 368.9$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 319.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.25 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.29per pick | 36cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 52c | 236.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.01 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 42c | 217$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.88 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Over | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Over | 49c | 199.07$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…0350backed Over | 56c | 178.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf22b…8f84backed Under | 77c | 130.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f46…7a71backed Under | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…8f2bbacked Over | 10c | 113.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…f012backed Under | 49c | 101.84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 100.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…86d3backed Over | 42c | 99.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…61b5backed Over | 63c | 89.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Over | 54c | 74.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 14c | 73.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 53c | 66.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 48c | 57.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Over | 53c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.44 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 44.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dea…47abbacked Over | 30c | 40.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd64d…d51ebacked Over | 75c | 38.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 78c | 37.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ada…dcb4backed Under | 42c | 36.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Over | 47c | 27.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8148…cc31backed Over | 49c | 23.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Under | 49c | 23.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x352b…abd8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 165.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.