WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe53c76dfbd03a4dae5100f8137ce1dff647d2b3ba6bf302835728559e2b5909
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Indiana Fever, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 9,408$4,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,841.97 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +4.9wins | +0.33per pick | 54cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 6,280$3,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,114.73 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 3,950$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.83 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 3,761$1,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.53 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…6039backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 2,878$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ef…5a1cbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 2,275$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.3 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bcf…c767backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,903$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.08 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Indiana Fever | 45c | 1,786$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.01 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.24 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Indiana Fever | 51c | 1,200$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 991.72$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 827.49$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.37 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Indiana Fever | 48c | 673.46$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.26 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 616.6$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.01 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 548.9$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.95 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 513$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.5 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 500.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.25 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Indiana Fever | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Indiana Fever | 49c | 442.92$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.03 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 320.75$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…a119backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd88…beeebacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 231.6$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Indiana Fever | 52c | 228.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 216.15$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Indiana Fever | 51c | 215.7$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 399 | 47.1%188 W · 211 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc806…57c6backed Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 195.12$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 191.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Indiana Fever | 42c | 164.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.18 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d4…1ffcbacked Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 140$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5af8…db25backed Golden State Valkyries | 62c | 124.35$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 106.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 100.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1591…3cc4backed Indiana Fever | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Indiana Fever | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 95.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Indiana Fever | 50c | 94.54$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9a…d10fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 92$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 91.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 84.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.68 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 80.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0570…16c9backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 73.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 70.17$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…a1e1backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 69.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7049…85a5backed Golden State Valkyries | 63c | 69.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 54.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 54.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Indiana Fever | 44c | 51.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Indiana Fever | 53c | 41.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Indiana Fever | 49c | 41.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 35.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Indiana Fever | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dae…7199backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 22.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Indiana Fever | 48c | 21.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 144 | 50%72 W · 72 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-2.5)this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana FeverGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 165.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 166.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 167.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 168.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 169.5Under won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-1.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Indiana Fever (-3.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.