Fifa International · resolved market
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb1f0400949238a63d3e88243d2ada08cd9c2a71985ced9f0cfd5e66354cf90
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,460,222
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,747,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,460,222 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 3,762 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 3c | 8,608,271$252,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252,375.12 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Yes | 1c | 7,076,098$95,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,169.59 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,495,925$72,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,526.7 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c2…0556backed Yes | 1c | 4,580,481$54,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,965.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…3413backed Yes | 3c | 3,918,303$130,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130,102.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 3c | 3,116,473$89,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89,877.34 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,512,075$71,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,845.5 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 2c | 2,157,992$33,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,198.09 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 2,106,679$40,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,507.68 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa39c…08bcbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000,000$25,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,820.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 3c | 1,776,704$46,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,861.71 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -83%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 2c | 1,666,051$39,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,769.2 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…78f1backed Yes | 4c | 1,375,320$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 2c | 1,156,689$26,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,705.83 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 2c | 1,070,242$17,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,427.1 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 2c | 1,068,431$25,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,844.75 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51f3…2e03backed Yes | 3c | 1,065,204$28,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,291.97 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…d10ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…df68backed Yes | 2c | 922,395$16,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,522.85 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…4972backed Yes | 1c | 888,887$10,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,666.65 | 39 | 5.1%2 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 1c | 884,802$12,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,202.82 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 3c | 877,890$22,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,591.03 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…4b1abacked Yes | 2c | 848,417$19,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,513.58 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…ac5abacked Yes | 1c | 833,333$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…b4f8backed Yes | 1c | 833,333$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…ee24backed Yes | 3c | 829,862$23,177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,177.1 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 1c | 781,499$10,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,755.43 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade5…0113backed Yes | 3c | 780,180$22,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,482.07 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 3c | 750,038$20,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,446.68 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c7…d9c5backed Yes | 1c | 721,452$9,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,663.33 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Yes | 3c | 709,290$17,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,919.42 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed Yes | 1c | 664,559$9,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,303.83 | 179 | 49.2%88 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1be7…a6e3backed Yes | 3c | 601,675$15,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,781.95 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 3c | 596,130$16,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,385.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…4461backed Yes | 1c | 572,999$6,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,302.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 562,763$14,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,593.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 1c | 516,203$6,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,725.01 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 2c | 503,786$9,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,697.87 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…03ccbacked Yes | 3c | 500,551$14,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,213.73 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd355…f69cbacked Yes | 2c | 492,211$7,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,383.16 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 486,807$5,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,796.53 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a7…3362backed Yes | 3c | 473,994$13,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,771.68 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…49f9backed Yes | 2c | 469,446$7,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,281.13 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -82.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…5cfebacked Yes | 1c | 458,733$5,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,044.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 424,695$11,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,261.1 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Yes | 2c | 422,101$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500 | 210 | 29%61 W · 149 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce0c…d839backed Yes | 3c | 419,925$13,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,413.05 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…2bb9backed Yes | 1c | 419,526$5,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,947.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e7b…d79dbacked Yes | 3c | 414,000$10,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,966 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 3c | 406,685$10,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,481.59 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 3c | 400,001$13,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,273.2 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…0938backed Yes | 2c | 400,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652c…2af0backed Yes | 3c | 391,343$10,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,820.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 3c | 387,343$11,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,275.42 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 2c | 383,000$6,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,378 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 2c | 375,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 362,064$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.53 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 2c | 350,000$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,050 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked Yes | 2c | 350,000$8,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,499.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…c06abacked Yes | 2c | 339,858$7,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,834.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd008…135dbacked Yes | 3c | 336,385$9,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,513.51 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -82%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 3c | 334,567$9,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,550 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…bb68backed Yes | 1c | 333,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -90.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 2c | 330,182$8,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,129.76 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a0…b16bbacked Yes | 3c | 328,681$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes | 3c | 328,536$9,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,349 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +9.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde7c…c933backed Yes | 3c | 324,000$8,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,312 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526d…ebd8backed Yes | 4c | 308,125$11,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,190.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…319cbacked Yes | 2c | 300,605$4,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,534.95 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Yes | 3c | 283,697$8,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,223.28 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf595…bfb5backed Yes | 3c | 283,018$8,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,893.57 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 281,576$5,839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,838.83 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…dea6backed Yes | 4c | 277,313$9,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,933.62 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 3c | 276,384$7,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,338.97 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d74…96ebbacked Yes | 1c | 275,600$3,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,762.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…37cdbacked Yes | 2c | 257,143$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 2c | 255,554$5,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,899.97 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 3c | 253,270$7,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,467.8 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…ff9bbacked Yes | 2c | 252,381$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 69 | 13%9 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…a1fabacked Yes | 2c | 250,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 3c | 250,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…a837backed Yes | 2c | 240,912$3,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,613.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 7cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c7…4cccbacked Yes | 2c | 239,012$3,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,881.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 2c | 236,880$4,738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,737.59 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77ba…9f0ebacked Yes | 3c | 234,517$6,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,092.67 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed Yes | 3c | 232,853$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,306.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 1c | 229,938$2,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,759.25 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…87e0backed Yes | 3c | 228,601$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…8d70backed Yes | 3c | 228,242$6,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,326.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4df…54dbbacked Yes | 1c | 226,323$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.23 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee17…6ea1backed Yes | 1c | 214,841$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.09 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab7e…b5d1backed Yes | 3c | 214,088$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Yes | 3c | 210,281$5,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,713.85 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…7a7abacked Yes | 2c | 209,788$3,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,368.71 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 2c | 208,320$4,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,592.2 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc22c…0396backed Yes | 2c | 204,433$4,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,977.21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…b956backed Yes | 2c | 204,085$3,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,320.4 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 3c | 203,953$6,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,210 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 2c | 201,968$4,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,714.29 | 198 | 18.7%37 W · 161 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed Yes | 3c | 200,419$5,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,504.13 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.