TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,529,247
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,867,380

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,529,247 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 400 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes0c9,109,772$9,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,162.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6786…0d36backed Yes0c2,990,576$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,990.58120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4947…eeafbacked Yes0c1,815,949$3,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,631.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Yes0c1,280,857$2,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,561.713636.1%13 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf166…fb37backed Yes0c1,265,840$1,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,265.84147.1%1 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick5cpaid-86.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x115d…f608backed Yes0c1,261,520$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,261.52110%0 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c859,702$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.791705.9%10 W · 160 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1615…8f2bbacked Yes0c599,996$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick11cpaid-85.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43e9…88e5backed Yes0c520,771$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.542015%3 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-74.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x829e…2c6dbacked Yes0c473,214$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17a8…e61fbacked Yes0c449,224$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.4550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes0c429,998$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56032629.1%95 W · 231 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb36b…7804backed Yes0c400,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5502825%7 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes0c377,564$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.66352.9%1 W · 34 L+0.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-80.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5bf…6e00backed Yes0c300,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002123.8%5 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick17cpaid-57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes0c265,782$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.561921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-70.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…b148backed Yes0c214,768$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.87210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…3c2dbacked Yes0c200,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20017030%51 W · 119 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cfc…661ebacked Yes0c174,821$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.6412711.8%15 W · 112 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…4651backed Yes0c153,600$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6250%0 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a02…4726backed Yes0c134,230$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5e6…1f0ebacked Yes0c133,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400210%0 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc8…e61cbacked Yes0c132,000$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132719.9%7 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-44.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5c0…1dddbacked Yes0c125,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ee…3fbabacked Yes0c116,610$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd568…ba70backed Yes0c113,034$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.02392.6%1 W · 38 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-87.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90bf…3348backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100567.1%4 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick6cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e7a…f429backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100240%0 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36a7…1aeabacked Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200323.1%1 W · 31 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-95.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b46…1263backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100248.3%2 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-72.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100462.2%1 W · 45 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-86.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb00…1942backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec6…d9edbacked Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021631%67 W · 149 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-37.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1873…37b6backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008318.1%15 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick18cpaid-57.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e7…65f5backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80f9…24a3backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10012517.6%22 W · 103 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x71af…c057backed Yes0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes0c100,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick25cpaid-14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes0c99,998$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick3cpaid-40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f14…b2fabacked Yes0c92,368$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e27…1c22backed Yes0c86,884$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.77728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1494…22d0backed Yes0c80,720$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.72119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick5cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabc2…cbadbacked Yes0c76,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39ba…f38bbacked Yes0c75,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c8…bc64backed Yes0c68,750$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.752646.2%12 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Yes0c67,280$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.561428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick21cpaid-40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc171…aa19backed Yes0c64,965$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.9350%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…b536backed Yes0c60,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16090%0 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2179…bedbbacked Yes0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60355.7%2 W · 33 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-83.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0527…f6d1backed Yes0c56,168$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b24…e303backed Yes0c52,114$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.231752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09d8…7853backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2855…6371backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid-46.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2991…f125backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50400%0 W · 40 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd396…4991backed Yes0c50,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002412.5%3 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc31…133cbacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502330.4%7 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick20cpaid-17.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc738…703ebacked Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50120%0 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7818…d185backed Yes0c50,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+380.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe959…7c7abacked Yes0c49,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50100%0 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34fe…4a5bbacked Yes0c49,999$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea7…68f8backed Yes0c49,999$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaae9…e36cbacked Yes0c47,350$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.3530%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2763…5eedbacked Yes0c46,608$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd5…8d77backed Yes0c46,500$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e2…47e7backed Yes0c46,375$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c0…a2cebacked Yes0c45,849$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45ff…9e05backed Yes0c45,311$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.621533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c23…031fbacked Yes0c43,410$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90f4…28b7backed Yes0c43,251$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd4…cda9backed Yes0c42,101$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f04…1a93backed Yes0c42,012$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6631…e50cbacked Yes0c41,241$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x604b…67b5backed Yes0c41,234$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bad…4d53backed Yes0c40,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4518510.8%20 W · 165 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6223…25b9backed Yes0c40,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ae…4b60backed Yes0c39,500$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521717.6%3 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick12cpaid-72.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a07…4335backed Yes2c38,115$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7687…9a12backed Yes1c37,800$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd44…847ebacked Yes0c37,669$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc6…c257backed Yes0c37,294$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf296…c3a2backed Yes0c36,352$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36d6…6051backed Yes1c35,841$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x583e…ac86backed Yes1c35,821$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95d…f4d9backed Yes0c35,776$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb027…3fccbacked Yes0c35,729$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0fe…e35ebacked Yes1c35,635$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb2e…74ccbacked Yes1c35,545$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa044…25d6backed Yes0c35,354$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e90…9ae5backed Yes0c35,298$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d09…143fbacked Yes0c35,203$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.4130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ccb…c59ebacked Yes0c34,945$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2acc…cfedbacked Yes0c34,500$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-86.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fd0…1917backed Yes1c34,024$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a1…19c2backed Yes1c33,949$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd964…06edbacked Yes0c33,773$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36bc…11edbacked Yes0c33,390$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c67…1075backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100482.1%1 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick2cpaid-86.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7348…86afbacked Yes0c32,603$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4113…b965backed Yes1c32,603$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22fe…bf23backed Yes0c32,514$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.