Fifa International · resolved market
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5bd80313b8859e3f5761568ac9498866ea9d4419e4d1b6a877a9a9bd2754cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $109,483,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,362,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,483,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd399…3f46backed Yes | 1c | 7,984,492$57,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,571.89 | 97 | 23.7%23 W · 74 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a8…580cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,684,536$37,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,476.29 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea1…dad3backed Yes | 0c | 4,000,001$17,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,018.44 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…9786backed Yes | 1c | 3,491,942$21,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,293.84 | 152 | 9.9%15 W · 137 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 0c | 2,600,781$12,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,154.78 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 1c | 2,151,434$11,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,455.6 | 100 | 12%12 W · 88 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6a…458ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,000,816$8,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,308.89 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,772,831$10,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,691.32 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…e036backed Yes | 1c | 1,565,497$14,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,771.42 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 1,460,350$7,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,591.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 1,299,998$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 0c | 1,235,176$5,523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,522.65 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbba8…b4f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,111,111$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…9e14backed Yes | 1c | 1,097,960$9,881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,881.49 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…6a78backed Yes | 1c | 1,085,507$9,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,769.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 0c | 1,000,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Yes | 1c | 1,000,000$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…9990backed Yes | 1c | 964,180$4,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1603…913bbacked Yes | 1c | 926,389$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 134 | 53%71 W · 63 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…7b99backed Yes | 1c | 915,015$9,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,965.56 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 0c | 890,919$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.37 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…5dfabacked Yes | 1c | 886,078$7,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,614.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 0c | 800,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 0c | 776,543$2,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.17 | 199 | 29.1%58 W · 141 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa372…1b3ebacked Yes | 0c | 751,539$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.31 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…ca97backed Yes | 1c | 725,259$6,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,216.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a7…e76cbacked Yes | 1c | 705,523$4,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,753.75 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes | 1c | 666,112$4,814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,814.28 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 1c | 637,084$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,643.37 | 50 | 14%7 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…902ebacked Yes | 1c | 632,459$5,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,888.1 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 1c | 616,035$4,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,221.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…f0a1backed Yes | 1c | 611,782$4,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704.85 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Yes | 1c | 600,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d8…99aebacked Yes | 1c | 587,769$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,586.61 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1842…16eabacked Yes | 1c | 571,429$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…6398backed Yes | 1c | 533,548$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.54 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 1c | 532,149$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.65 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 1c | 507,557$3,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,385.81 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…e394backed Yes | 0c | 500,000$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.88 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 1c | 500,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aae…319cbacked Yes | 1c | 494,040$5,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.09 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…9492backed Yes | 1c | 487,015$4,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c0…ecf1backed Yes | 0c | 484,973$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.89 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c6…5d0bbacked Yes | 1c | 478,890$5,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,004.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed Yes | 0c | 460,051$2,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.45 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Yes | 1c | 425,240$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,265.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…03a1backed Yes | 1c | 405,874$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,038.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…e192backed Yes | 1c | 400,182$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Yes | 1c | 400,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0366…a001backed Yes | 1c | 400,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 19cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa0…cac8backed Yes | 1c | 384,924$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.2 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed Yes | 0c | 381,973$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.3 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…d08bbacked Yes | 0c | 380,000$1,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,820 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Yes | 1c | 363,636$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 354,740$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.6 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…e406backed Yes | 1c | 353,811$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,953.82 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118e…d80ebacked Yes | 1c | 345,856$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…c3dfbacked Yes | 1c | 336,664$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,366.52 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -71.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…b428backed Yes | 1c | 334,646$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…942abacked Yes | 1c | 332,335$4,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580.55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…adc5backed Yes | 1c | 317,728$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,940.74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 1c | 301,074$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.94 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2533…2652backed Yes | 1c | 299,905$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed Yes | 1c | 299,099$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.89 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Yes | 1c | 281,160$2,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,438.17 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…10d1backed Yes | 0c | 280,000$1,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,370 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 1c | 256,864$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fc…b5c2backed Yes | 0c | 253,648$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.86 | 61 | 13.1%8 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3446…cca7backed Yes | 1c | 251,601$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…e10dbacked Yes | 1c | 251,080$1,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,878.36 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb09d…64c8backed Yes | 0c | 250,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb03d…6da6backed Yes | 1c | 245,181$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…0fe5backed Yes | 1c | 242,420$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.2 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes | 1c | 239,767$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.57 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7040…81fabacked Yes | 1c | 234,894$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,179.31 | 141 | 16.3%23 W · 118 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 222,222$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5357…3a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 221,292$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…4ae1backed Yes | 1c | 220,847$2,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,320.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…8d70backed Yes | 0c | 220,538$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.61 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138f…657ebacked Yes | 1c | 219,983$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,979.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +89%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…bd09backed Yes | 0c | 217,565$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.41 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…7f58backed Yes | 1c | 210,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdc…3296backed Yes | 1c | 207,221$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.5 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Yes | 1c | 205,000$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845 | 144 | 33.3%48 W · 96 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc842…ac6ebacked Yes | 0c | 203,364$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x608b…fbd6backed Yes | 1c | 201,159$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Yes | 1c | 200,269$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865.41 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e42…49edbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6786…0d36backed Yes | 1c | 200,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb013…6b3abacked Yes | 1c | 199,989$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.89 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed Yes | 1c | 191,847$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…e0acbacked Yes | 1c | 181,818$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc4…0039backed Yes | 1c | 181,783$1,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…4378backed Yes | 1c | 176,800$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.35 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…f7d7backed Yes | 1c | 174,997$1,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,654.97 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251f…86acbacked Yes | 1c | 166,667$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed Yes | 1c | 166,667$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…cb2ebacked Yes | 1c | 166,667$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…b956backed Yes | 1c | 161,200$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.8 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd13b…58b8backed Yes | 1c | 153,756$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 50 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Congo DR win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Peru win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.