TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe1c0…ecf1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT7625%19 W · 57 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 76 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Magdalena Frechbacked Magdalena Frech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,088Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,087.98
Bloomfield Hills: Jacob Fearnley vs J.J. Wolfbacked J.J. Wolf · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$917.99
Palermo: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Lucia Bronzettibacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$972
Estoril Open: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Alexander Blockxbacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,544Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,544
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Jennifer Ruggeribacked Jennifer Ruggeri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,983Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,983.14
Hamburg European Open: Tamara Korpatsch vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Tamara Korpatsch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$313.52
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Luca Van Asschebacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+424.4%+$2,227.87
Hamburg European Open: Mayar Sherif vs Paula Badosabacked Mayar Sherif · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$943Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$1,604.88
Livesport Prague Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentovabacked Tereza Valentova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$472Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$1,050.67
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaevabacked Alina Charaeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,035
Livesport Prague Open: Lanlana Tararudee vs Daria Snigurbacked Lanlana Tararudee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
ITF Bali: Ryuki Matsuda vs Taisei Ichikawabacked Ryuki Matsuda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$603.78
ITF Brisbane: Sarah Mildren vs Destanee Aiavabacked Sarah Mildren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,438Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,438
Winnipeg: August Holmgren vs Liam Draxlbacked August Holmgren · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,939Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939
Winnipeg: Hayato Matsuoka vs Clement Chidekhbacked Hayato Matsuoka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$137
Winnipeg: Johannus Monday vs Yuta Shimizubacked Johannus Monday · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$1,327Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$2,820.09
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$423.57
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$475Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$474.95
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Michael Zhengbacked Michael Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$338
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Coco Gauffbacked Claire Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$472Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$472.44
Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$493Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$493
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Busta/Munar vs Andreozzi/Guinardbacked Busta/Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$999
Wimbledon ATP: James Duckworth vs Flavio Cobollibacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,788Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,788
Wimbledon WTA: Amanda Anisimova vs Sofia Keninbacked Sofia Kenin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,033Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,032.74
Wimbledon ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Jan-Lennard Struffbacked Jan-Lennard Struff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$957Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+201.2%+$1,926.38
Showing 25 of 76 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick26cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,109.92
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$526Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$526
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,563Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,563.07
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$1,940Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,939.89
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,902.49
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$904Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$903.51
England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advancebacked DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$806Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$805.7
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$2,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,100
France vs. Sweden: Team to Advancebacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$2,833Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,833
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$942Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$941.89
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$2,470Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$3,410.35
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$916Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+280.9%+$2,572.38
Norway vs. France: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$913Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$912.69
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$4,874.01
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.62
Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.4
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$883Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$883
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$709Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.37
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$2,019Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,018.94
Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$934Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$933.67
All 22 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,106Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$1,247.14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.