TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$105,732

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes39c12,406$4,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,577.663135.5%11 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…9f79backed Yes47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.33339.4%13 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked No53c10,320$5,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,469.582352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes46c6,101$2,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,278.018347%39 W · 44 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c4,032$1,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,180.122,47333.9%839 W · 1,634 L-95.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6daa…954abacked No55c3,463$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,904.761442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No54c3,389$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,82769448.8%339 W · 355 L+18.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c3,363$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.4166150.5%334 W · 327 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No4c2,740$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.842,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No58c2,704$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.612,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed No56c2,697$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1c0…ecf1backed Yes47c2,353$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No54c2,037$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1006764.2%43 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.991580%12 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No62c1,825$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.3856849.6%282 W · 286 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No46c1,774$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.553,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes46c1,640$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.9417233.7%58 W · 114 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-23.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No53c1,461$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.081,60438.9%624 W · 980 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbea1…496cbacked Yes47c1,318$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+56.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df2…99f5backed No1c1,309$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.094546.7%21 W · 24 L+3.8wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes38c1,259$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.94131.7%13 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-20.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes47c1,081$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.971,11435.8%399 W · 715 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.831323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes34c999.78$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.9455845%251 W · 307 L+2.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcba9…f812backed Yes38c986.84$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.842825%7 W · 21 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes43c985$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5592123.8%5 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick11cpaid+80.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No49c829.46$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40531430.3%95 W · 219 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-29.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8c6…7b39backed No5c815.01$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.758446.4%39 W · 45 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No57c741.95$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.3697346%448 W · 525 L-4.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No54c716.81$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.9117446%80 W · 94 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfff3…e2c5backed No62c700$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4344645.7%21 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes45c667.31$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.317354.8%40 W · 33 L+7.9wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+24.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes46c652.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.174833.3%16 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes47c611.19$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.0865535.6%233 W · 422 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes50c537.47$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.1181440.5%330 W · 484 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb756…92d7backed No57c491.23$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.31per pick49cpaid-61.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x9940…59b3backed Yes73c486.58$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.38560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd096…2f6fbacked Yes42c475.92$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.921338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick32cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes60c471.81$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.361,03346.1%476 W · 557 L-3.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes44c431.38$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.484454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Yes47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.531361.5%8 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c416$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.242,33341.7%972 W · 1,361 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Yes48c409$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.681080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+60.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xba1d…d326backed Yes48c400$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7391…5375backed Yes46c391.3$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.32454.2%13 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+41.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No53c287.66$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.7996947.5%460 W · 509 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed No63c269.84$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704045%18 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60f6…a196backed No4c261.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.471118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick14cpaid-68.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No54c256$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2427545.8%126 W · 149 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No55c250.63$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.799852%51 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a0b…2500backed Yes41c245.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.991931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Yes54c210.65$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9429959.5%178 W · 121 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes41c192.71$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.71,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x225b…9a83backed No51c188.76$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.274431.8%14 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5c…98eebacked Yes54c187.52$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…96f0backed No55c176.09$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No13c170$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245348.3%219 W · 234 L+0.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Yes43c164$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.4831842.1%134 W · 184 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No53c134$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.026245.2%28 W · 34 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No63c128.33$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.859152.7%48 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e33…45f6backed No57c125.02$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.261957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x584a…8b8abacked No55c121.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.39666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+52%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed No48c112.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6485260.9%519 W · 333 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.78124.7%20 W · 61 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9786…7f05backed Yes47c108.56$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.561513.3%2 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.34per pick48cpaid-74.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes50c105.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.719250.5%97 W · 95 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7be6…5ab8backed No57c105.26$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601711.8%2 W · 15 L-6.7wins-0.39per pick51cpaid-77.4%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xdf15…a1febacked Yes47c102.04$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.081957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…f544backed Yes37c100.49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9529337.9%111 W · 182 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked No53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5377855%428 W · 350 L+23.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c3b…07c9backed No52c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.487838.5%30 W · 48 L-8.0wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed No54c98.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.465549.8%326 W · 329 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5981…3934backed Yes38c93.53$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.998333.7%28 W · 55 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes38c91.18$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.532524%6 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes76c90.14$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6323461.5%144 W · 90 L+26.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+31.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes69c89.65$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.794264.3%27 W · 15 L+8.6wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes45c88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.417443.1%75 W · 99 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked No54c82.96$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-30.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbb…6cb4backed No55c81.82$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes44c80$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.879354.2%430 W · 363 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed No53c78.75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.7418449.5%91 W · 93 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e4…db33backed Yes39c76.92$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.922272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+34.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No54c75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.511168.5%76 W · 35 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79f5…79c7backed No54c72.07$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b80…8b39backed Yes47c71.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.79875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.33per pick42cpaid+79.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f354backed No31c70$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.74025%10 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No59c69$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7137043.8%162 W · 208 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Yes46c67.8$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7612941.9%54 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No27c67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0915240.8%62 W · 90 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce5e…c0fabacked Yes45c59.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.618245.1%37 W · 45 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0464…67dabacked Yes41c59.13$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.8936356.5%205 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.822157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9c4…0d5bbacked Yes44c56.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.821931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1910948.6%53 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6416045%72 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…453fbacked Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.311631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes42c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2979532.2%256 W · 539 L-16.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.514233.1%47 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-17.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.52850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5183…d4dabacked No54c48.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-45.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.