TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2bb2…b26c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 56 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4461.4%27 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+71.9%+$129.46
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$20.59
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+56%+$100.89
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.2%+$24.94
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$26.58
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+102%+$20.41
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$10.15
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Will Switzerland be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will England be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$14.82
Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$39.38
Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.92
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.03
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.98
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+73.1%+$55.61
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.04
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$46.56
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.39
Will England win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.3
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$121.02
Spread: FC Sion (-1.5)backed FC Sion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will FC Flora win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+48.5%+$14.56
Will SC Braga win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$15.79
Will PAOK win on 2026-08-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+124.8%+$24.96
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Sion win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.55
Will FK Auda win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+116.3%+$29.06
PFK CSKA Sofia vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK: Team to Advancebacked Qarabağ Ağdam FK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Rīga FC win on 2026-07-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+198.7%+$19.87
Will HNK Hajduk Split win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Will NK Varaždin win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+204%+$61.21
Will FK Vardar Skopje win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FK Velež Mostar win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC UNA Strassen win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$27.8
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$19.16
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NEC win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-08-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$20.24
Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+79.7%+$11.95
Will Kuopion PS win on 2026-07-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+56.4%+$28.2
Will KF Egnatia Rrogozhinë win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Qairat FK: Qairat FK O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz win on 2026-07-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Spread: Shamrock Rovers FC (-1.5)backed Floriana FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Universitatea Craiova CS win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$16.65
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.09
All 15 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$42.16
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.28
Spread: Celtic FC (-1.5)backed Celtic FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will IFK Goteborg win on 2026-08-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Will Aberdeen FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$27.86
Will Rangers FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Orgryte IS vs. Djurgardens IF: Orgryte IS O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$50.09
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+57.9%+$33.84
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$61.71
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-04-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.99
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+63.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
World Championships: Norway vs. Denmarkbacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-34.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Cerro Porteño vs. SE Palmeiras: SE Palmeiras O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$29.82
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-37.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Joventutbacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$5.06
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventutbacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$5.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.