Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2463e955f640ca1a26b53e8ba3c37fbb5962b22b1ac32635d064de33df8fd5d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 18c | 7,959$1,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.15 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…7656backed Yes | 71c | 2,742$1,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.21 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 15c | 2,400$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.96 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 40c | 2,395$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23c…5ae7backed No | 3c | 1,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 40c | 1,449$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.74 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 76c | 1,009$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.07 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 25c | 768$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefd6…ca34backed No | 30c | 640.74$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 60c | 546.22$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.89 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 13c | 532.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.55 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 58c | 504.26$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.83 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…16b9backed Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 18c | 446.76$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd74…bedabacked No | 12c | 401.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 175 | 29.1%51 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 80c | 379.4$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.05 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…80b5backed No | 11c | 333$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yes | 76c | 213$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.72 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 60c | 194.22$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.17 | 734 | 40.1%294 W · 440 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…4078backed Yes | 46c | 175.77$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.53 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 11c | 152.73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 7c | 144.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 15c | 104.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -7.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes | 76c | 103.32$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 60c | 95.23$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked No | 40c | 88.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 77c | 82.1$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcf…e455backed No | 37c | 74.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 40c | 69.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.99 | 143 | 39.2%56 W · 87 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3656…6a0cbacked Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c0…c6f9backed Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 43c | 52.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.63 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed No | 42c | 48.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 60c | 47.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 41c | 43.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 72c | 38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed No | 43c | 37.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 70c | 36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 43c | 35.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed Yes | 77c | 34.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…dc9cbacked Yes | 59c | 33.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 58c | 32.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 39c | 31.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed6c…4eb1backed Yes | 61c | 31.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d5…ab3ebacked No | 41c | 29.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 75c | 27.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 72cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 62c | 25.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…c3cdbacked Yes | 80c | 24.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 51c | 21.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5837…8cdebacked Yes | 58c | 21.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 79c | 20.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd8…53c9backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4f…000ebacked Yes | 63c | 19.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +130.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf1d…9591backed Yes | 57c | 18.24$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-15?this page
- Will Fortuna Sittard vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.