Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x88f68c0930142f2bb6b9afb3a90d3636ce2a161ac6b54e268a097835a4b1b6d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 54c | 1,847$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.81 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 59c | 664$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.76 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Yes | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…04d7backed Yes | 61c | 491.8$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 408.63$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 59c | 380.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.78 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 41c | 368.33$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.78 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 220.33$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yes | 28c | 210.28$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.44 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 40c | 197.99$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.58 | 778 | 55%428 W · 350 L | +23.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 60c | 176$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.12 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Yes | 61c | 164.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 41c | 156.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.52 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 41c | 156$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.04 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked No | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked No | 71c | 98.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 24c | 98.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.66 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…00fcbacked Yes | 27c | 96.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 70c | 96$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 41c | 95.76$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.93 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7403…b24abacked Yes | 55c | 90.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 41c | 84.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.93 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Yes | 29c | 79.31$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Yes | 51c | 78.04$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 39c | 76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.36 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 37c | 54.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 40c | 54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 174 | 43.1%75 W · 99 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 39c | 51.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 278 | 46.4%129 W · 149 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Yes | 40c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 69c | 42.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Yes | 41c | 41.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked Yes | 60c | 41.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a69…8caabacked Yes | 30c | 39.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed No | 41c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 370 | 43.8%162 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 29.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed No | 41c | 26.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1f…0d9dbacked No | 58c | 25.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…56bcbacked Yes | 61c | 23.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6951…66f3backed Yes | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 56c | 21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 99 | 23.2%23 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 52c | 20.66$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 389 | 52.7%205 W · 184 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…68a0backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed No | 59c | 19.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 60c | 17.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bde…ecbabacked No | 71c | 14.37$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.17 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KAA Gent win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-08-20?No won
- Will KAA Gent vs. Hibernian FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.