Fifa International · resolved market
Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31fa87d1bc872cac90dcf0f4ec31e437fd26f3d8051bad76c01b5ad86ad967eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13e0…a97ebacked Yes | 35c | 21,425$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 34c | 14,391$4,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,963.16 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa187…7fd4backed No | 65c | 7,680$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.59 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7bd…ebcebacked No | 65c | 5,773$3,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,020.64 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked No | 65c | 5,325$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.98 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed No | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x000c…bcf3backed No | 66c | 2,509$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.95 | 299 | 16.7%50 W · 249 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 30c | 2,406$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.91 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b40…2f6abacked Yes | 30c | 2,033$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.04 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…eb10backed No | 66c | 1,515$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 67c | 1,281$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.58 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 67c | 1,217$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.69 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 68c | 1,106$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.83 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x668f…05f3backed No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…942abacked No | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…db64backed Yes | 35c | 900.01$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +205.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ad…1a54backed No | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +259.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29dd…b286backed No | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +261.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 65c | 899.99$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89df…f8d0backed Yes | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 142 | 45.8%65 W · 77 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked No | 65c | 800$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a82…4e51backed No | 66c | 800$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 68c | 692.25$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.22 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 67c | 622.86$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.49 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 70c | 530$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.4 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 65c | 477.36$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.62 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 70c | 454.11$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 237 | 50.6%120 W · 117 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8e…21b7backed No | 65c | 443$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.61 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…ee7abacked Yes | 23c | 437.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 5c | 437$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 75c | 421.05$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.84 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…0992backed Yes | 41c | 420.87$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 27c | 399.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 70c | 385$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.6 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…6de4backed Yes | 35c | 357.14$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 272 | 39%106 W · 166 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 34c | 343.18$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.12 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed No | 77c | 326.09$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 75c | 322.44$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 71c | 311.5$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.47 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc5…da90backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2895…7db8backed Yes | 22c | 288.84$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.08 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…4c71backed Yes | 32c | 274.41$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed No | 65c | 252.47$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.34 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ba…b3f9backed Yes | 34c | 249.99$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked No | 65c | 249.86$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.42 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 76c | 237.5$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 28c | 237.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.36 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 66c | 224$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…159dbacked No | 65c | 202$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 31c | 200.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 199.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…d3fdbacked No | 65c | 199.61$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.86 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 196.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.93 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbed…60b9backed No | 66c | 194.85$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.85 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 26c | 194.59$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835a…530abacked Yes | 35c | 194.29$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Yes | 36c | 188.31$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.02 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 67c | 173.37$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.44 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 69c | 170$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 18c | 169.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b18…7cf5backed Yes | 22c | 165.73$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 71c | 165$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 66c | 152.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.73 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 25c | 145$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 144.55$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…7bffbacked Yes | 35c | 142.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 35c | 134.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.69 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 59c | 127$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 18c | 126.09$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf382…be0ebacked No | 77c | 124.52$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 120.74$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.3 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 74c | 120$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 63c | 120$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 66c | 119.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.3 | 197 | 60.4%119 W · 78 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd010…4c84backed Yes | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee7…7f71backed No | 66c | 110.48$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.56 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…db49backed Yes | 31c | 107.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +153.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…5fa8backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed No | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…1edbbacked No | 66c | 97.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 70c | 86.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…5841backed No | 77c | 86.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 67 | 16.4%11 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked No | 66c | 77.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 18c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 67c | 76.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.48 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 23c | 76.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc054…2050backed No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb2…b26cbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…438bbacked No | 64c | 75.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 14c | 74.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd17…7856backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked No | 70c | 66.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Spain win the World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.