Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0ea9611f19179ae71359e6cd233657564c9c2514475830db72d793ea5e59067
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,304
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 9,513$2,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,388.82 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed9…febfbacked Yes | 75c | 3,872$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +405.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fb…70a2backed Yes | 78c | 3,653$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.8 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 75c | 3,076$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.92 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 23c | 2,372$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.84 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 29c | 2,012$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.88 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 28c | 1,756$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.74 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 65c | 1,529$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.54 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f722backed No | 37c | 1,220$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5b…529abacked No | 18c | 1,115$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd7…ac41backed No | 25c | 1,008$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7588…032abacked Yes | 61c | 995.42$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 77c | 989.17$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.9 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf6…e816backed Yes | 72c | 938.8$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.8 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 12c | 908$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.54 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x687d…e28bbacked Yes | 72c | 755.77$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.62 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Yes | 66c | 750.5$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.05 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfea3…d227backed No | 26c | 691.3$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.66 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes | 33c | 607.59$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.59 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 75c | 536.1$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.02 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 56c | 500$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.85 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08be…3eb1backed Yes | 70c | 491.78$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.33 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…dc09backed No | 25c | 479.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 70c | 462.41$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.54 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 72c | 430.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.49 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 27c | 424.17$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.61 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 23c | 401.37$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.37 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9941…0b8dbacked Yes | 72c | 375.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.26 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 35c | 372.97$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.54 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked No | 25c | 359$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.75 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 20c | 346.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.62 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 37c | 337.38$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.64 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked No | 22c | 324.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 176 | 32.4%57 W · 119 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…2ee7backed Yes | 76c | 288$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +7.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 78c | 280.59$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 194 | 61.3%119 W · 75 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 29c | 276.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.79 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b6…8f5fbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +210.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…3eebbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 20c | 258$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 38c | 250.51$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 66c | 250$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.12 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc1…560bbacked No | 28c | 249.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc91b…93bdbacked No | 35c | 248.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed No | 23c | 230$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 47c | 216$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.17 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac0…6112backed Yes | 74c | 214.73$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.83 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 205$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 46c | 202.01$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.51 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa637…0b56backed Yes | 73c | 201.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…a2d5backed Yes | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 157 | 58%91 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 26c | 199.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a31…1164backed No | 27c | 189.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 186 | 36.6%68 W · 118 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed No | 22c | 183.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 73c | 183$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e45…d758backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 39c | 169.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 77c | 169.3$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 19c | 148.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 29c | 142.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked Yes | 57c | 138.59$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.66 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…1c89backed Yes | 77c | 129.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 156 | 51.9%81 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 48c | 126.69$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 64c | 126$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.18 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 74c | 118.35$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked Yes | 75c | 114$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 164 | 34.1%56 W · 108 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 27c | 107.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 38c | 106.83$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 1,068 | 49.2%525 W · 543 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 25c | 105$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 130 | 60.8%79 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 23c | 105$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 18c | 105$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bba…5fa8backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0e…1411backed Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a3…04f4backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 64c | 98.95$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.53 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed No | 40c | 97.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54f1…585abacked Yes | 73c | 97.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 11c | 96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 664 | 39.6%263 W · 401 L | -47.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…8d4fbacked Yes | 54c | 91.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d3…5554backed Yes | 59c | 91.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.97 | 345 | 24.1%83 W · 262 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 19c | 89.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 18c | 82.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 458 | 36.2%166 W · 292 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c5…a320backed No | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 68c | 75.41$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 27c | 74.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 69c | 72.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…ae97backed Yes | 73c | 68.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 28c | 63.7$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…aed6backed Yes | 71c | 62.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.27 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 69c | 60$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 34c | 56.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 65c | 55.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbb…cad4backed No | 29c | 55.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 42c | 52.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Canada be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.