Fifa International · resolved market
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f7bad51ceb77d3452c95192dc22cedf2db85e8aea546b2a0a960c6d7b4c6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,976
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,976 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 28c | 4,611$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.51 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 26c | 2,690$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.29 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef1…8d6dbacked No | 73c | 2,500$1,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,899$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.03 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca53…2dffbacked No | 74c | 1,892$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.89 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked Yes | 27c | 1,500$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,183$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4091backed No | 74c | 1,045$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.92 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5447…bd41backed Yes | 27c | 850$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 71c | 798.65$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.41 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…3b1abacked No | 70c | 744.29$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.36 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…df39backed No | 74c | 533$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.58 | 256 | 38.7%99 W · 157 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 120 | 46.7%56 W · 64 L | -11.5wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…2a50backed Yes | 46c | 434.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 334.84$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.93 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 53c | 333.43$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.59 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 30c | 316$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.8 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd704…cf56backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked No | 74c | 299.85$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…3c4cbacked No | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked Yes | 44c | 247.64$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.96 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 79c | 246$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 31c | 211.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 47c | 203.54$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.49 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 171 | 38%65 W · 106 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 63c | 197$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Yes | 23c | 189.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.11 | 341 | 51%174 W · 167 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked No | 75c | 163.25$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 24c | 152.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked No | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…32babacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 55c | 135.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.22 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 56c | 130.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Yes | 33c | 121.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 157 | 47.8%75 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb49…43febacked No | 70c | 114$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 42 | 76.2%32 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43e7…2380backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 64c | 102.44$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 208 | 62%129 W · 79 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 281 | 48.4%136 W · 145 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed No | 53c | 99.79$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.9 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 62c | 83.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 62c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 219 | 58%127 W · 92 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 54c | 75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c1…8d4fbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed No | 74c | 72.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 25c | 69.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 52c | 59.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 69c | 52.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…5961backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -7.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…5a3dbacked No | 52c | 47.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07c1…f3e2backed Yes | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89b1…b6bebacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 50c | 38.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 45c | 34.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 76c | 33.73$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 74c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 71c | 28.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa74…78b9backed No | 54c | 27.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -9.0wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 198 | 74.7%148 W · 50 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 51c | 25.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 55c | 25.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.43 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…8c5fbacked No | 68c | 22.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -8.9wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd51d…1578backed No | 74c | 21.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…2453backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed No | 71c | 15.14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Canada be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?No won
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Canada be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Canada win the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.