TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x635d…5025

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
688
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 62 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT12630.2%38 W · 88 L-0.4wins0.00per pick30cpaid+86.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$709.72
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,564Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+87.2%+$2,235.98
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$367.07
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.21
Will Alfonso López Chau win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.84
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,611Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$599.12
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,303Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+153.3%+$1,996.98
Starmer out by June 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$70.49
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$209
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$1,352Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,352.01
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.43
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.85
Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Jorge Nieto finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.81
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.76
Will Tatiana Auguste win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$173Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$126.82
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,409.89
Will Poilievre regain a seat in Canadian Parliament in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.47
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 99 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$559Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.3%+$141.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,245Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$374.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,239Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$960.8
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$4,461Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$2,959.52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$3,690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+52.2%+$1,926.79
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$6,323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,322.61
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,441Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,440.95
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$740Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+48.6%+$359.93
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+106.2%+$103
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,409Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+29.8%+$718.82
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$133
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+41.6%+$294
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,429Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$648.84
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$840Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$660.02
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Another EU country restricts U.S. military aircraft by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$832Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$238.33
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,614Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$2,786.54
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,452Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$747.98
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$274Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$273.81
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,913.57
Showing 25 of 99 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT8647.7%41 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+1,375.3%+$287.51
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.5
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.89
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.01
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.77
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.14
NBA to pass Luka Doncic’s “Extraordinary Circumstances Challenge”?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.31
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$96.99
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2024-25 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.21
Will the Chicago Bulls make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.1
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.15
Mavericks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$18.2
Kings vs. Magicbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.85
Grizzlies vs. Thunderbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Celtics vs. Sunsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.45
Bucks vs. Nuggetsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$31.2
Clippers vs. Knicksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$23.4
Wizards vs. 76ersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$38.35
Celtics vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.1
Bulls vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$27.95
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2025, EDT7936.7%29 W · 50 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 79 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Alex Ovechkin break the scoring record this season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$94.3
Rangers vs. Sharksbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$25.35
Bruins vs. Red Wingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.09
Golden Knights vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.35
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.8
Maple Leafs vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$45.49
Blues vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.25
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.47
Bruins vs. Ducksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$27.3
Bruins vs. Kingsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Hurricanes vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Predators vs. Bluesbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
Penguins vs. Panthersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.5
Bruins vs. Sharksbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.8
Kraken vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.45
Maple Leafs vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$39.52
Lightning vs. Utahbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.85
Panthers vs. Capitalsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.5
Flames vs. Islandersbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$36.4
Blackhawks vs. Bluesbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.44
Flyers vs. Starsbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.75
Sabres vs. Wildbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.65
Canucks vs. Rangersbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.95
Blue Jackets vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$14.76
Showing 25 of 79 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST6349.2%31 W · 32 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+38.2%+$83
Will the government shutdown last 14 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25.8%+$41
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$28
Another US military action against Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$75
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,126Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+99.8%+$1,124.06
Will the U.S. take over Gaza in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+27.7%+$26.06
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.13
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Japan"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 30, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+53.8%+$35
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 29, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+75.4%+$86
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+233.3%+$70
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$78
Will Cuomo endorse Eric Adams?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+56.3%+$36
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$46
Will Trump endorse Eric Adams?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$38.5
100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+37%+$54
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+242.5%+$708
Israel military action against Iran in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$551.48
Will Elon tag @realDonaldTrump on X in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$137
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT4367.4%29 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 43 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,474Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$445.26
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+118.8%+$1,519.99
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$218
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$91
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$671Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$670.59
Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+36%+$54.07
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$90
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$103
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+97.4%+$295.98
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$755Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+32.5%+$244.95
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$556Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+25.9%+$144
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$571Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+145.1%+$828.78
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$536Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$535.98
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+128.1%+$439.62
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$391Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$209.14
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$300.99
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+33.5%+$75.3
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$212Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$211.9
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$82.2
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+56.3%+$36
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+334.8%+$154
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Showing 25 of 43 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST2650%13 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Big Game be the most viewed Big Game ever?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+219.9%+$84.43
Big Game: Player/HC to cry during National Anthem?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$64
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 7 times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$17.94
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Like That"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$440.44
Taylor Swift shown on the Super Bowl LIX broadcast 10 or more times?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$72.04
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "N95"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+32%+$25.45
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Family Ties"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20.82
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "King Kunta"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+120.3%+$25.48
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Swimming Pools"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$38.52
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Bitch Don't Kill My Vibe"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+50.4%+$26.31
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Squabble Up" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$53.2
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Collard Greens"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25.09
Will Kendrick Lamar perform a song not listed first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+184.4%+$101.8
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "m.A.A.d. City"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+138%+$131.39
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Hey Now"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+62.4%+$70.7
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Money Trees"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+178%+$32.03
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Alright"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+132.3%+$95.81
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 120 and 130 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+50.9%+$157.71
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+201%+$26.5
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Euphoria"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$27.71
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "DNA"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+28.9%+$35.91
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "All The Stars"?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$149.9
National Anthem O/U 120.5 secondsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$668Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$668.2
Will Kendrick Lamar perform "Humble" first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$71.65
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 130 and 140 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30.43
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$40.1
Will Belgium reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$204.71
Will USA reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+108.7%+$246.87
Will Morocco reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$63.33
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$57
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Canada reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.67
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.75
Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$68
Will no country replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$690Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$201.7
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$22.51
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$96
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$773Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$773.04
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+223.9%+$854.39
Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$447Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$446.76
Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+141.8%+$440.04
Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$169.54
Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$690Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$690.46
Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$982Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+59.6%+$584.66
Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$214Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.99
Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$66
Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+37%+$55.81
Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$49.57
All 24 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2025, EDT2454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Tech vs. Floridabacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.65
Oregon vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26
New Mexico vs. Michigan Statebacked Michigan State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+37%+$17.55
Ole Miss vs. Iowa Statebacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.55
UCLA vs. Tennesseebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.8
Gonzaga vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$20.8
BYU vs. Wisconsinbacked Wisconsin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.8
Creighton vs. Auburnbacked Creighton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Drake vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.25
Michigan vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.7
Arkansas vs. St. John'sbacked St. John's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.1
Liberty vs. Oregonbacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+37%+$17.55
Oklahoma vs. UConnbacked UConn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$20.15
Vanderbilt vs. St. Mary'sbacked St. Mary's · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$23.4
Colorado State vs. Memphisbacked Colorado State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$31.19
Baylor vs. Mississippi Statebacked Mississippi State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.45
UC San Diego vs. Michiganbacked Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$28.6
Drake vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$44.85
Yale vs. Texas A&Mbacked Texas A&M · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$16.9
Arkansas vs. Kansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+203%+$43.55
Georgia vs. Gonzagabacked Gonzaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$16.9
McNeese State vs. Clemsonbacked Clemson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$48.75
High Point vs. Purduebacked Purdue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$16.25
Creighton vs. Louisvillebacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.05
All 24 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-42.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.56
No one announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.49
Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.1
Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$191.66
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.79
Will Marty Supreme win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.72
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score >95?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.35
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 55 and 60?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.98
Will "The Amateur" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 60 and 65?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2025, EDT+86.4%+$25.49
Will Gaitok die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+55.8%+$109.96
Will Greg/Gary die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$33.59
Will Lochlan die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+30.1%+$6.45
Will Timothy Ratliff die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+32.7%+$19.69
Will Pornchai die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT+41.5%+$138.4
Will Jim Hollinger die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.4
Will Rick Hatchett die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$298.14
Will Chelsea die in Season 3 of the White Lotus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$305.73
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$23.98
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST+55.4%+$160.49
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $15m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$177.2
Will "Paddington in Peru" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $15-18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31.93
All 23 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+214.5%+$1,023
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+214.1%+$818
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$127.14
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$170.95
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+99.6%+$99.8
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.31
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.08
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$242Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$242.44
Will the Toronto Blue Jays be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.98
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.97
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+239%+$141
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.54
Will the New York Yankees be eliminated in the Division Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.77
Will the Toronto Blue Jays be eliminated in the Division Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Blue Jays vs. Yankees Series Winnerbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.05
Blue Jays vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
All 18 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-53.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$22.8
Maduro trial scheduled by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+122.2%+$55
Maduro mugshot released by January 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$95
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$44
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$197.5
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+41.8%+$118
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$57
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Maduro out by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$203
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$331.65
Maduro leaves Venezuela by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$442Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$441.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130.68
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$103.6
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48.99
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+32.3%+$61
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+37%+$27
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$68
All 17 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$709.72
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$1,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,008.49
Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 NYC mayoral election between 9:00 PM and 9:59 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+61.8%+$38.2
Will the Associated Press first call the 2025 NYC mayoral election between 10:00 PM and 10:59 PM ET on Nov 4 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20.2
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$191.2
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$763Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$763.46
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$38
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+619.2%+$262.59
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$57.91
Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$17.86
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$112.75
Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$52.44
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST-100%-$54.25
All 13 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$608.85
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$729Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$270.91
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$27.5
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$61
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+38.4%+$53.33
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$87
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.11
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$30
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$68
Will Gold close between $4500 and $4600 at the end of 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+77.6%+$43.7
Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST-100%-$28.6
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+65.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.54
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+231.6%+$165.59
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend the FIFA Club World Cup finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$87.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.