Us Midterms · resolved market
Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8e3ca717d93be1f6fccea2cc168aeea15f2568466f37121d780efe32eae33e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,257,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,192,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,257,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 2,017 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5cd3…7a5abacked Yes | 66c | 254,306$166,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,503.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 39c | 132,432$52,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,137.52 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 37c | 108,179$39,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,784.53 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 37c | 100,390$37,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,208.66 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 24c | 88,353$21,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,011.52 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Yes | 58c | 87,568$51,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,535.97 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 39c | 84,027$33,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,057.64 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 30c | 77,897$23,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,593.96 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 65c | 74,052$48,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,004.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…6ef7backed Yes | 56c | 73,694$41,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,160.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 4c | 71,819$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +326.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 37c | 66,395$24,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,724.24 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 59c | 64,667$38,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,467.09 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e05…e2fdbacked Yes | 54c | 62,645$33,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,806.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 43c | 59,688$25,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,449.25 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 43c | 59,513$25,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,821.45 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 44c | 54,089$23,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,942 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed Yes | 54c | 52,110$28,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,048 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 2c | 50,273$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +1,501.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 61c | 49,351$29,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,479.43 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed No | 42c | 49,169$20,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,868.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 35c | 46,729$16,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,509.95 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 20c | 43,904$8,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,923.83 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…dfb6backed No | 48c | 42,927$20,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,490.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed No | 48c | 39,136$18,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,677.57 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 46c | 37,795$17,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,551.77 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 43c | 35,824$15,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,435.74 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…bf77backed No | 40c | 35,577$14,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,283.56 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed No | 24c | 34,862$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,249.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 42c | 33,728$14,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,107.47 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 47c | 31,290$14,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,633.42 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 44c | 31,017$13,737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,736.98 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 65c | 29,124$18,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,228.72 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 32c | 26,422$8,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,570.12 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 22c | 26,242$5,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,722.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 47c | 24,993$11,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,693.01 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c0cebacked Yes | 61c | 23,253$14,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,159.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 45c | 22,910$10,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,266 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed Yes | 66c | 22,905$15,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,879.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 9c | 22,601$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.55 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…79b0backed No | 46c | 21,787$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 60c | 21,336$12,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,492.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 66c | 20,769$13,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,158.42 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5724…73e5backed Yes | 52c | 20,702$10,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,860.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…c324backed Yes | 54c | 20,373$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,372.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 40c | 19,719$7,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,805.71 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 50c | 19,655$9,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,746.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 51c | 19,537$10,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,530 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36cc…8642backed Yes | 72c | 19,263$13,934 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,328.9 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +137.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed No | 44c | 18,811$8,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,358.77 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 60c | 18,793$11,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,458.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 34c | 18,769$6,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,297.81 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked No | 33c | 18,738$6,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,126.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9b…4d6cbacked No | 17c | 18,483$3,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,118.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…5a76backed Yes | 58c | 17,958$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,557.9 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f2…2cd0backed Yes | 53c | 17,701$9,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,346.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 60c | 17,441$10,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,023.75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 31c | 17,240$5,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Yes | 59c | 16,896$9,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,965.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2621…af21backed No | 34c | 16,457$5,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,642.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 54c | 16,444$8,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,637.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 61c | 16,155$9,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,283.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 71c | 15,794$11,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,650.31 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 15,688$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d04…ed05backed Yes | 59c | 15,441$9,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,284.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 16c | 15,274$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.46 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked No | 32c | 15,250$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,940 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2c…dcbbbacked Yes | 54c | 15,091$8,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,950.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 38c | 15,039$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,660.96 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed Yes | 75c | 15,000$11,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,821.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 56c | 14,776$8,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,479.05 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 55c | 14,249$7,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,792.65 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 34c | 13,959$4,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,696.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 42c | 13,904$5,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,816.04 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed No | 44c | 13,318$5,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,836.76 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x20c2…1183backed Yes | 53c | 13,298$7,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,184.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed No | 22c | 12,997$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.03 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 31c | 12,936$3,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,981.26 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed No | 29c | 12,668$3,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,671.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 67c | 12,651$8,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,186.27 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 61c | 12,381$7,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,846.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 36c | 12,220$4,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,423.15 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…5f7bbacked Yes | 56c | 12,000$6,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99b9…9b39backed No | 38c | 11,865$4,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,521.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed No | 20c | 11,709$2,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,358.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 39c | 11,592$4,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,490.64 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked No | 48c | 11,355$5,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,457.29 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 35c | 11,207$3,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,936.11 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 11,204$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.48 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…1aa4backed No | 44c | 10,808$4,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.72 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc753…3d20backed Yes | 64c | 10,791$6,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 62c | 10,439$6,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 40c | 10,100$4,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,039.5 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf502…2975backed No | 50c | 10,009$5,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,003.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…3a85backed Yes | 50c | 10,001$5,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc6…62e0backed Yes | 66c | 10,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,400 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked No | 2c | 10,000$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 73c | 9,846$7,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,695.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes won
- Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes won
- Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No won
- John Ratcliffe confirmed as director of the CIA?Yes won
- Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes won
- Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?Yes won
- Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?Yes won
- Marco Rubio confirmed as Secretary of State?Yes won
- Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No won
- Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?Yes won
- Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes won
- Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?Yes won
- Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes won
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes won
- Russell Vought confirmed as OMB Director?Yes won
- Scott Turner confirmed as HUD Secretary?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.