Us Midterms · resolved market
Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x330f413895b25d8669861208d3403725516f6e3d66164bea64a8be41a4ccb0b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,227,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,148,774
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,227,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 867 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfffa…864bbacked No | 78c | 304,423$237,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,015.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 31c | 231,054$71,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71,228.31 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 24c | 222,188$52,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,310.82 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 75c | 191,031$143,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,671.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 76c | 110,061$83,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,174.13 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 71c | 100,001$70,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,106.11 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 74c | 96,767$71,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,511.96 | 81 | 33.3%27 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 24c | 62,486$15,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,289.28 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 69c | 56,458$38,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,510.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6922…7f8fbacked Yes | 34c | 53,389$18,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,339.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed No | 62c | 52,672$32,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,101.23 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48da…6d88backed No | 70c | 44,514$31,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,170.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed Yes | 32c | 44,015$14,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,095.94 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 70c | 43,511$30,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,057.89 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked Yes | 28c | 42,761$11,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,810.31 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 28c | 41,459$11,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,478.39 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 60c | 36,891$22,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,663 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 21c | 35,682$7,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,489.69 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 71c | 33,647$23,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,669.58 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed Yes | 2c | 33,333$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.66 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed Yes | 42c | 32,849$13,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,715.54 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…353bbacked Yes | 26c | 30,609$7,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,952.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…fc3fbacked Yes | 30c | 30,583$9,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,038.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked No | 70c | 28,792$20,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,645.31 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +124.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…ddfebacked Yes | 23c | 27,854$6,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,406.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 68c | 24,456$16,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,814.76 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c5…a736backed Yes | 26c | 24,091$6,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,222.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…7dd1backed Yes | 26c | 21,357$5,581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,580.51 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fec…2b67backed Yes | 35c | 21,175$7,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,411.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed Yes | 29c | 20,683$6,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,042.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 70c | 20,500$14,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,174.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dee…615fbacked Yes | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4a…ac42backed Yes | 29c | 20,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,759.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Yes | 22c | 19,653$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked Yes | 28c | 18,697$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Yes | 31c | 17,890$5,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,551.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…8c36backed Yes | 28c | 17,366$4,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,935.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 72c | 16,360$11,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,556.72 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Yes | 24c | 15,850$3,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,809.11 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -76%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…8bbfbacked Yes | 28c | 15,595$4,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,335.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 23c | 15,085$3,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,475.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 72c | 15,000$10,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66be…6346backed Yes | 1c | 14,559$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0a…c642backed Yes | 29c | 14,000$4,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,052 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ec…7cd3backed Yes | 23c | 13,901$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614d…1546backed No | 72c | 13,900$9,963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,936.68 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…9fc6backed Yes | 20c | 13,408$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.92 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x752e…81c4backed No | 71c | 12,862$9,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,672.77 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Yes | 26c | 12,800$3,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,325.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…b476backed Yes | 30c | 12,751$3,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked Yes | 30c | 12,387$3,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,755.95 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf85f…9800backed No | 75c | 12,011$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,011.17 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 28c | 12,000$3,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,307.9 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed No | 68c | 11,860$8,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,813.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…23d8backed Yes | 25c | 11,498$2,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,835.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc609…e74dbacked No | 70c | 11,352$7,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,449.43 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 69c | 11,133$7,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,494.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…022cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 21c | 9,800$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9287…8556backed Yes | 36c | 9,587$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 70c | 9,500$6,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,868.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Yes | 26c | 9,463$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 22c | 9,193$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.33 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9962…aab6backed No | 65c | 9,000$5,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,149.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 27c | 8,864$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.89 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…06f0backed Yes | 26c | 8,250$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…73e5backed No | 64c | 8,125$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,903.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…66fdbacked Yes | 30c | 8,010$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f04…d82ebacked Yes | 29c | 7,936$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa761…b066backed Yes | 27c | 7,723$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…95cebacked No | 70c | 7,559$5,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,253.33 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 21c | 7,400$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,554 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked No | 73c | 7,350$5,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc10…b32ebacked Yes | 22c | 7,300$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 60c | 7,199$4,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.28 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…741bbacked Yes | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 38c | 6,928$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.88 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a1dbbacked Yes | 29c | 6,897$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c32…3945backed Yes | 28c | 6,810$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed No | 74c | 6,783$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f23…9f2ebacked Yes | 30c | 6,733$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed No | 74c | 6,516$4,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,694.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 29c | 6,296$1,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.23 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x305c…dc57backed No | 76c | 6,211$4,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f87…f277backed No | 78c | 6,206$4,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 28c | 6,035$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.94 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…4973backed Yes | 33c | 6,000$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…d918backed Yes | 31c | 5,301$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,618.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…be6fbacked Yes | 1c | 5,050$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd1…6544backed Yes | 24c | 5,010$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -53%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b0…f0b6backed Yes | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3227…2727backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa53a…e4f1backed Yes | 45c | 5,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,240 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579e…eda1backed Yes | 22c | 5,000$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…333bbacked Yes | 22c | 4,900$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 55c | 4,848$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.63 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b7…5d06backed Yes | 19c | 4,800$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa218…94cdbacked No | 73c | 4,759$3,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.48 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25a9…f991backed Yes | 1c | 4,682$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?this page
- Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes won
- Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes won
- Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No won
- John Ratcliffe confirmed as director of the CIA?Yes won
- Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes won
- Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?Yes won
- Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?Yes won
- Marco Rubio confirmed as Secretary of State?Yes won
- Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?Yes won
- Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes won
- Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?Yes won
- Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes won
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes won
- Russell Vought confirmed as OMB Director?Yes won
- Scott Turner confirmed as HUD Secretary?Yes won
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.