Us Midterms · resolved market
Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14618aaf6f238e45400b1bb50857617f4b8d5a3a04e8dfa8b17de3db3b26bb27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,746,033
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,293,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,746,033 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 348 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 2c | 178,540$3,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,092.16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +326.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 1c | 109,131$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +928.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…f2cbbacked No | 2c | 96,313$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +1,840.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a8…b139backed No | 1c | 51,300$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +2,677.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 12c | 49,407$5,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,982.62 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 64c | 49,366$31,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,643.54 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d41…bf90backed No | 5c | 48,430$2,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,603.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 3c | 38,831$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.03 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 9c | 37,675$3,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.06 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 24c | 37,343$8,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,965.94 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 38c | 28,789$11,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,052.32 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked No | 14c | 28,337$4,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.73 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed No | 9c | 21,554$1,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.86 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 7c | 20,780$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.83 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed Yes | 78c | 20,460$16,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,426.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…c0cebacked Yes | 78c | 19,844$15,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,330.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 9c | 19,806$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.24 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 10c | 19,347$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.97 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 14c | 15,854$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.43 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 9c | 15,650$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,406.47 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b8ecbacked No | 21c | 14,950$3,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,071.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 6c | 14,561$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.13 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 13,128$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.98 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…ce50backed No | 5c | 12,711$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 5c | 12,212$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed No | 1c | 11,900$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.99 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed Yes | 63c | 11,733$7,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,346.48 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 10,720$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…a960backed Yes | 67c | 10,643$7,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,548.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed No | 6c | 10,411$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 34c | 10,254$3,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,494.54 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f86…54d6backed No | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf05…70dabacked Yes | 78c | 9,766$7,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,192.1 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked No | 2c | 9,500$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 3c | 9,426$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.17 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +1,501.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 9,162$1,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.3 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 77c | 9,142$7,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.94 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…2afabacked No | 4c | 9,000$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7feb…6612backed No | 2c | 8,678$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 8,294$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.85 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 17c | 7,263$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.33 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8692…6856backed No | 2c | 6,790$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…d307backed No | 37c | 6,723$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 5c | 5,740$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.62 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 65c | 5,654$3,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,001.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 28c | 5,500$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0778…f3b7backed No | 1c | 5,094$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1424…2e03backed No | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1290…5269backed No | 4c | 5,000$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…8775backed No | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…b5debacked No | 10c | 4,936$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 10c | 4,899$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.83 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 69c | 4,743$3,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.32 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c1…9b20backed No | 6c | 4,730$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.67 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 75c | 4,648$3,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,163.41 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…4973backed Yes | 65c | 4,618$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 9c | 4,410$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.73 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 63c | 4,235$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.37 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed No | 29c | 4,113$1,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e40…c89dbacked No | 27c | 4,033$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.51 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 27cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed No | 10c | 4,010$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 35cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda23…32e1backed No | 13c | 3,935$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed No | 20c | 3,923$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.64 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5685…62e2backed No | 42c | 3,806$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 5c | 3,795$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa174…138dbacked No | 2c | 3,779$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 59c | 3,594$2,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 22c | 3,550$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.83 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 62c | 3,443$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.96 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8af…325ebacked No | 30c | 3,432$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.95 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 46cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…80f0backed No | 4c | 3,330$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 78c | 3,295$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed No | 8c | 3,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…b6b5backed No | 1c | 2,992$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed No | 13c | 2,984$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…95b1backed No | 12c | 2,958$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.25 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…f717backed No | 4c | 2,838$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 2,826$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.89 | 494 | 11.5%57 W · 437 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304a…eacfbacked No | 1c | 2,800$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…4ed8backed No | 24c | 2,800$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 11c | 2,791$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.01 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 1c | 2,567$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc1…8645backed No | 9c | 2,525$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e8…d208backed No | 44c | 2,295$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 10c | 2,282$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40bb…72bebacked No | 9c | 2,258$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadf4…ce9dbacked No | 11c | 2,206$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked No | 5c | 2,160$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…adefbacked No | 5c | 2,128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 2,100$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.36 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3c…93f1backed No | 5c | 2,091$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed No | 4c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7aa…d0f0backed No | 13c | 2,000$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…6d52backed No | 6c | 2,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…70c9backed No | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…09f3backed No | 2c | 1,997$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 9c | 1,900$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc90…6eb4backed Yes | 59c | 1,865$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.99 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8341…de89backed No | 12c | 1,810$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed No | 36c | 1,675$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.98 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?this page
- Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes won
- Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes won
- Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No won
- John Ratcliffe confirmed as director of the CIA?Yes won
- Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?Yes won
- Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?Yes won
- Marco Rubio confirmed as Secretary of State?Yes won
- Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No won
- Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?Yes won
- Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes won
- Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?Yes won
- Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes won
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?Yes won
- Russell Vought confirmed as OMB Director?Yes won
- Scott Turner confirmed as HUD Secretary?Yes won
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.