Us Midterms · resolved market
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b7ec6f7bfc0553df2d2f8552d219b9861c435e68c3c53fbb0453045f21b2c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,605,358
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,372,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,605,358 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,280 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 16c | 193,195$31,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,469.11 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 25c | 79,762$19,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,657.81 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…8e50backed No | 23c | 78,791$18,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,289.54 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 12c | 73,551$8,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,728.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -71%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2023…2d55backed No | 11c | 70,481$7,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,867.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +928.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 0c | 65,800$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 22c | 60,452$13,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,187.01 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a74…3b98backed Yes | 79c | 58,333$45,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,475.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…cc9fbacked No | 1c | 58,000$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 27c | 56,876$15,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,571.92 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…4ef5backed No | 20c | 50,733$10,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,364.38 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked No | 1c | 48,969$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.01 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 17cpaid | +1,501.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed No | 19c | 48,638$9,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,322.53 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 73c | 46,341$34,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,308.03 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Yes | 76c | 44,839$33,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,972.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…5f8ebacked Yes | 77c | 41,104$31,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,471.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 76c | 37,481$28,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949.36 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 26c | 36,447$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,399.6 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed No | 31c | 35,424$10,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,979.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +103%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 3c | 34,743$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.42 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd673…0c20backed No | 1c | 33,100$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 1cpaid | +2,677.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…7bd8backed No | 27c | 32,634$8,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,778.07 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked No | 9c | 31,730$2,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,704.22 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd9…3d87backed No | 23c | 28,608$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked No | 26c | 28,402$7,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,462.47 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdf…c324backed Yes | 80c | 27,934$22,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,642.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 22c | 27,173$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,891.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed No | 29c | 26,990$7,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,787.07 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 24c | 26,956$6,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,423.35 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 5c | 25,220$1,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,217.38 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 15cpaid | +300.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed No | 7c | 25,033$1,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.49 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +326.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…6a4cbacked No | 28c | 23,530$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,660.34 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 76c | 23,272$17,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,585.35 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 71c | 23,004$16,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,558.98 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76ae…f66dbacked No | 4c | 22,758$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…b5dabacked No | 29c | 21,973$6,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,407.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 69c | 20,549$14,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,470.21 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b86…73ddbacked Yes | 77c | 20,010$15,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,616.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked Yes | 77c | 20,005$15,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,592.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 22c | 19,109$4,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,188.35 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +480.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…a8ffbacked No | 1c | 18,684$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked No | 25c | 17,737$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,445.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked No | 21c | 17,321$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 23c | 16,707$3,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,890.31 | 168 | 33.3%56 W · 112 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 22c | 16,665$3,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,702.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 24c | 16,500$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 25c | 16,116$4,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,078.85 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1751…72d6backed No | 25c | 16,111$3,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,976.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 74c | 15,824$11,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,089.54 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…ea5abacked Yes | 75c | 14,969$11,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,773.71 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12b6…9fd7backed Yes | 69c | 14,360$9,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,509.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 27c | 14,117$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,792.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…6a1cbacked No | 18c | 13,973$2,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 78c | 13,594$10,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,020.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6033…bbf8backed Yes | 76c | 13,239$10,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Yes | 76c | 13,221$10,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1da…8f6abacked Yes | 73c | 12,855$9,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,464.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 2c | 12,500$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.5 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92a1…301ebacked Yes | 79c | 12,170$9,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee63…07a4backed No | 26c | 11,965$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed No | 26c | 11,401$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,914.58 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed No | 18c | 11,352$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e71…ad34backed Yes | 75c | 11,060$8,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 22c | 10,631$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.08 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 12c | 10,212$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.58 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed No | 3c | 10,095$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x000d…758ebacked No | 25c | 10,000$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Yes | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 24c | 10,000$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,405 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…5016backed Yes | 71c | 10,000$7,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,900 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 70c | 9,981$6,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 27c | 9,900$2,697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,696.99 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…77ccbacked No | 26c | 9,749$2,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,518.14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x030a…acfcbacked No | 21c | 9,703$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 20c | 9,370$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.86 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 25c | 9,286$2,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,321.56 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed No | 26c | 9,056$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,322.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 6c | 8,393$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.16 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 69c | 8,389$5,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.25 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed No | 26c | 8,223$2,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.1 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Yes | 79c | 8,151$6,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked No | 5c | 8,083$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked No | 25c | 8,034$1,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,986.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ca…e25abacked Yes | 75c | 7,945$5,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…a912backed Yes | 76c | 7,850$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf55e…0c66backed No | 0c | 7,361$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…20fdbacked No | 26c | 7,254$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 71c | 7,000$4,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 31c | 6,944$2,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,119.86 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 74c | 6,744$4,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.34 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…58fcbacked Yes | 77c | 6,707$5,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…95cebacked Yes | 69c | 6,536$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.63 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed No | 27c | 6,516$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.61 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 20c | 6,179$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.69 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x456a…741bbacked Yes | 77c | 6,156$4,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…b45bbacked No | 2c | 6,000$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…817ebacked No | 27c | 5,877$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.33 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…ba38backed Yes | 77c | 5,811$4,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.97 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x269c…9017backed Yes | 77c | 5,500$4,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?this page
- Doug Collins confirmed as Secretary of Veterans Affairs?Yes won
- Brooke Rollins confirmed as Agriculture Secretary?Yes won
- Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?No won
- John Ratcliffe confirmed as director of the CIA?Yes won
- Kash Patel confirmed as Director of the FBI?Yes won
- Lee Zeldin confirmed as Administrator of the EPA?Yes won
- Lori Chavez-DeRemer confirmed as Labor Secretary?Yes won
- Marco Rubio confirmed as Secretary of State?Yes won
- Matt Gaetz confirmed as Attorney General?No won
- Mehmet Oz confirmed as Medicare and Medicaid Administrator?Yes won
- Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes won
- Pam Bondi confirmed as Attorney General?Yes won
- Pete Hegseth confirmed as Secretary of Defense?Yes won
- Russell Vought confirmed as OMB Director?Yes won
- Scott Turner confirmed as HUD Secretary?Yes won
- Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.