NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Utah
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8107894b8112f4abdbff4a9980df34817d134091ca476b25574de14a0b26261
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Lightning, Utah
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $97,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Utah | 49c | 39,111$19,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,106.85 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Utah | 52c | 12,007$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.9 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lightning | 51c | 9,837$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.64 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 54c | 8,817$4,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,771.44 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lightning | 52c | 8,400$4,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,368 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Utah | 45c | 6,536$2,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.5 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Lightning | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…128ebacked Lightning | 28c | 3,571$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Lightning | 49c | 3,345$1,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.13 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Lightning | 51c | 3,195$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.45 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Lightning | 49c | 2,400$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,176 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Lightning | 49c | 2,152$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,046.26 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lightning | 47c | 2,042$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.63 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Lightning | 50c | 1,881$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.5 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -9.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Utah | 72c | 1,564$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.88 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Lightning | 33c | 1,529$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.53 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Lightning | 48c | 1,523$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.11 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3318…ea60backed Utah | 49c | 1,363$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0417…a81ebacked Lightning | 51c | 1,363$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Lightning | 51c | 1,280$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.4 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 1c | 1,078$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe696…36a0backed Utah | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.28 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a48…9f3ebacked Lightning | 51c | 1,018$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.18 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Lightning | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 228 | 42.5%97 W · 131 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lightning | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Lightning | 49c | 972$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.31 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Utah | 71c | 734.65$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.76 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Utah | 69c | 675.68$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.46 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Utah | 45c | 672.16$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.69 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Lightning | 51c | 656.96$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.05 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Lightning | 52c | 655.95$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.1 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Lightning | 22c | 605.27$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lightning | 49c | 451.25$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.85 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eda…4bb7backed Lightning | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 129 | 55.8%72 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d44…b15ebacked Lightning | 51c | 400$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Lightning | 51c | 333$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.83 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Lightning | 52c | 265.57$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.01 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0b95backed Utah | 46c | 252$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.24per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…c7f1backed Lightning | 55c | 252$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…4192backed Utah | 46c | 252$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.08 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Lightning | 50c | 243.25$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.66 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…b2d1backed Utah | 58c | 242.74$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe468…926ebacked Utah | 80c | 208.75$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 52c | 207.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.37 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…2ebebacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6152…ea90backed Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…c56dbacked Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd24…2223backed Utah | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3093…0d01backed Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…2b0cbacked Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c86…a6efbacked Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…371abacked Lightning | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Lightning | 50c | 189.64$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.06 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9730…4504backed Lightning | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Lightning | 53c | 185$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.05 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Lightning | 51c | 164.71$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Lightning | 49c | 163$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.55 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4273…5b3bbacked Lightning | 24c | 144.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1c…06c9backed Lightning | 29c | 142.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…0266backed Lightning | 52c | 127.29$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Lightning | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Lightning | 48c | 123.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67cb…11cdbacked Lightning | 51c | 106.82$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…d650backed Utah | 50c | 106.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lightning | 19c | 105.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Utah | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Lightning | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ded…466fbacked Lightning | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Lightning | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Lightning | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Lightning | 48c | 99.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Lightning | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…0e4dbacked Utah | 49c | 98.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fb…4684backed Lightning | 52c | 94.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9152…1311backed Utah | 53c | 91.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.62 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdc…79acbacked Lightning | 52c | 91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -57%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Lightning | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c0…32e8backed Utah | 49c | 87.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4e83…a4a0backed Lightning | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 101 | 47.5%48 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Lightning | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Lightning | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b7…958dbacked Lightning | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Lightning | 29c | 67.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Lightning | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Utah | 59c | 64.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.29 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Utah | 47c | 63.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Lightning | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 301 | 55.1%166 W · 135 L | +17.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…e97ebacked Lightning | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…b078backed Lightning | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Lightning | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 285 | 42.1%120 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef89…73e2backed Lightning | 55c | 50.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Lightning | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Lightning | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Utah | 46c | 46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Lightning | 32c | 44.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4364…d6a7backed Lightning | 37c | 40.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Lightning | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.