Us Midterms · resolved market
Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa50ce519612fd1d27eae5e8d4c0e15a08f5915828a1253b77e45965383c41155
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 22c | 5,624$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.68 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 15c | 3,500$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 24c | 2,398$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570.64 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…2096backed Yes | 26c | 2,159$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 21c | 1,818$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.92 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…d8cabacked Yes | 12c | 1,379$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.05 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 19c | 1,339$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.37 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 73c | 1,077$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.36 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 26c | 1,003$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 29c | 974.09$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 13c | 790.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed No | 80c | 781$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.69 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 21c | 748.73$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.46 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063d…3567backed Yes | 28c | 738.1$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…d307backed Yes | 15c | 667.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x498f…7b7fbacked Yes | 13c | 662.75$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.14 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 22c | 659.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 20c | 624.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.87 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 23c | 620$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 19c | 565.77$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.03 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 55c | 547$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 15c | 526$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.68 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 73c | 515.9$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.82 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 17c | 477.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 471.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 23c | 450$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.23 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 11c | 444.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.94 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 16c | 440.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 16c | 438.33$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 23c | 422$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb78e…30e3backed Yes | 26c | 422$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…f4a8backed Yes | 37c | 407.3$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 16c | 398.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.19 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 15c | 379.71$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.91 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 27c | 362.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.04 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 18c | 359.84$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.77 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 13c | 350.6$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f7…b3bdbacked Yes | 26c | 309.45$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 15c | 301$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Yes | 20c | 297$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa12b…bbf5backed Yes | 13c | 295.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 21c | 290$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 279.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d0…4e7dbacked Yes | 29c | 268.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 27c | 253.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 22c | 253.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…5f95backed Yes | 17c | 250$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 20c | 231.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 17c | 229$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.93 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked No | 68c | 226.75$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 69cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 13c | 223.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 26c | 220.38$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 27c | 207.68$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 16c | 200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 21c | 197$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed Yes | 17c | 192.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +186%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…61e6backed Yes | 18c | 190$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 16c | 175.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f0…9a0cbacked Yes | 23c | 171.63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 15c | 171.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 76c | 165.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…27adbacked Yes | 18c | 162.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 161.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bf…d806backed Yes | 27c | 149.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…191fbacked Yes | 20c | 146.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +137.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…b398backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…a7d8backed Yes | 29c | 140.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 14c | 140$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed Yes | 8c | 137$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e8…141dbacked Yes | 24c | 122.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…b98fbacked Yes | 24c | 122.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b9…2220backed No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…ca50backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 18c | 109.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…91d6backed Yes | 50c | 100.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8e…3d89backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac92…67efbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…05e9backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a05…e4b8backed Yes | 12c | 90$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Yes | 34c | 88.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 72c | 86.85$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…5f72backed Yes | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.91 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8291backed Yes | 16c | 66.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…edeebacked Yes | 24c | 63.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f0…0446backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…4b54backed Yes | 32c | 46.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 77c | 42.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…1f3cbacked Yes | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e72…9938backed No | 72c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +151.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 72c | 20.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will 53 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.