Us Midterms · resolved market
Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcca7fbe3251e7e6ad1311df7c1b2d1e94f432096458f1975a896428bcc87914
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,194
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,194 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 5c | 11,112$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.06 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Yes | 41c | 9,066$3,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,742.65 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 64c | 7,907$5,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,841.96 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5c…bf77backed Yes | 36c | 5,638$2,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.17 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 20c | 5,483$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.91 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,123$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 132 | 0.8%1 W · 131 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf78…c8c4backed Yes | 45c | 4,500$2,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.13 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 38c | 4,295$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.7 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d57…bfc5backed Yes | 43c | 3,862$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.52 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked No | 68c | 3,544$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.43 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 71c | 3,365$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.72 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e4…b676backed Yes | 36c | 3,293$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,177.88 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 13c | 2,693$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.53 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75f…edafbacked No | 58c | 2,593$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.93 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856f…e1d7backed Yes | 18c | 2,531$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed No | 75c | 2,303$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…afccbacked Yes | 0c | 2,024$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 28c | 1,463$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.67 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb27…4db3backed Yes | 4c | 1,400$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -91.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed No | 59c | 1,313$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.14 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00dc…6ab8backed Yes | 48c | 1,285$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…b444backed Yes | 17c | 1,208$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed Yes | 16c | 1,118$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.43 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 36c | 1,106$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 63c | 1,083$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.82 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a69…b592backed No | 49c | 925.27$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.89 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 59c | 823.55$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.66 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 14c | 800.64$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked No | 56c | 750$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 50c | 749.97$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.48 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…7a11backed No | 63c | 718.47$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 35c | 710.36$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.64 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 74c | 648.15$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.52 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed No | 69c | 627.5$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd347…5205backed No | 49c | 610$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.1 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked No | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked No | 51c | 589.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb85c…1e98backed Yes | 46c | 541.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 65c | 526.92$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.91 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a06…41c9backed No | 64c | 499.22$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed No | 59c | 498.06$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.04 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x758a…4893backed No | 58c | 460$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…bbc5backed No | 46c | 441.29$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…2d69backed Yes | 47c | 435.59$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.52 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 65c | 430$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 55c | 410.74$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…f6e5backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked No | 65c | 400$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.59 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb71a…6fc9backed Yes | 46c | 371.47$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 29cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 46c | 354.25$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.73 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 72c | 341$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -25%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 76c | 305$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf123…686fbacked No | 62c | 301.89$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 38c | 300$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.75 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…3349backed Yes | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 34c | 293.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.87 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed Yes | 50c | 278.16$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 66c | 261.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…d8cabacked Yes | 45c | 242.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…3143backed Yes | 35c | 235.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…62e0backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 57c | 216.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6c…f6aabacked Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.62 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 63c | 196.07$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.87 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…978fbacked No | 60c | 176$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x813e…c1f9backed Yes | 32c | 170.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 62c | 159.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed Yes | 46c | 157.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +186%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7737…e497backed Yes | 35c | 139$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba1…2af6backed Yes | 45c | 137.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 33c | 136.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…6cdcbacked Yes | 30c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 44c | 121$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.24 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…8814backed Yes | 43c | 118.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 45c | 116.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…a281backed No | 45c | 115.69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9127…6ff3backed No | 53c | 107.18$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80da…4f6dbacked Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed No | 47c | 104.15$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb205…5fbbbacked No | 49c | 103.61$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 59c | 102.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.11 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb19…e5a0backed Yes | 54c | 101.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…4f3abacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b60…4007backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf85b…5663backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb114…bdcbbacked No | 58c | 98.93$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…371dbacked No | 46c | 98.7$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…65ecbacked No | 48c | 97.69$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d0…1a2ebacked Yes | 38c | 97.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538a…bd78backed No | 51c | 95$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…43f0backed Yes | 56c | 93.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x748b…0d33backed Yes | 48c | 93.21$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…92a9backed Yes | 55c | 92.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0a…6b93backed Yes | 52c | 92.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cd…a557backed No | 59c | 91.24$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 23c | 90.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec2…0cb3backed No | 58c | 90.2$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?Yes won
- Will 53 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.