Us Midterms · resolved market
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d99a646d41330af178978ab61de7724e033beea37a2337a1cc6e30cdb2f6cc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,733
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f76…8e57backed Yes | 8c | 12,400$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,447.51 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 18c | 8,781$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.99 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 24c | 3,760$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.94 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4569…c0d3backed Yes | 56c | 3,031$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,329.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed Yes | 46c | 2,930$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.54 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -10.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -52%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…387abacked No | 43c | 2,823$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.18 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 55c | 2,036$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.57 | 314 | 34.1%107 W · 207 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked Yes | 54c | 2,035$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.27 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 12c | 2,004$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.04 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 60c | 1,764$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.55 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc822…c185backed No | 41c | 1,610$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.23 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 6c | 1,550$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 8c | 1,300$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Yes | 22c | 1,294$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.24 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 39c | 1,256$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.81 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 9cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,203$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.59 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 1,188$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.72 | 449 | 35.2%158 W · 291 L | -37.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…df9bbacked Yes | 58c | 1,161$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.44 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 40c | 1,072$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 56c | 1,044$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.91 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 50c | 1,010$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.02 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…d8cabacked Yes | 11c | 879.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb4…21c1backed Yes | 14c | 841$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 10c | 825.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.73 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Yes | 35c | 812.78$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.37 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1750…dce6backed Yes | 35c | 784.24$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c92…1322backed Yes | 7c | 750$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7c…f1a6backed Yes | 47c | 745.54$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.54 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed No | 5c | 610$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 50c | 600$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.4 | 154 | 45.5%70 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Yes | 45c | 591.73$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.73 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…50c7backed Yes | 29c | 589.99$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 58c | 565$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.92 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 11c | 562.14$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.89 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed No | 38c | 424.58$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.29 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…6d3fbacked Yes | 57c | 419.42$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27f…91d6backed Yes | 59c | 406.07$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 44c | 403.98$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.47 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 30c | 402.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.03 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…cec5backed Yes | 9c | 380.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +186%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb1…b398backed Yes | 22c | 340.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…9105backed No | 46c | 326.45$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328a…2758backed Yes | 35c | 317.74$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +186.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e13…a7a6backed Yes | 65c | 308.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe77e…bb3dbacked Yes | 65c | 306.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Yes | 14c | 305$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.59 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…3133backed Yes | 18c | 300$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfe…5087backed Yes | 57c | 291.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda4b…f229backed Yes | 41c | 270.03$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…ca50backed Yes | 45c | 266.65$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.65 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed Yes | 14c | 259.84$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.96 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked Yes | 48c | 258$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 20c | 250.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.9 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c85…9e34backed No | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e60…5f95backed Yes | 12c | 250$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…61e6backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.33 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 58c | 243$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 47c | 235.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0347…e0e5backed Yes | 30c | 230.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.8 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 23c | 222.86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.6 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 64c | 215.16$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.09 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 43c | 209.55$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.78 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 68c | 206.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.94 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed No | 41c | 203.19$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 29c | 185$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 9c | 184.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.42 | 55 | 10.9%6 W · 49 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 39c | 179.97$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.0wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -80.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…c5babacked Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 16c | 175.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.68 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8893…3e47backed Yes | 30c | 173.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…e930backed No | 66c | 173.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1744…1d2abacked Yes | 58c | 166.99$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.94 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…c2e8backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffdb…411dbacked Yes | 66c | 153.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xceb3…e5cdbacked Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…a7d8backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 42c | 141.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes | 53c | 141.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x995d…bd40backed Yes | 62c | 138.95$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…3b09backed No | 44c | 111.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…27adbacked Yes | 19c | 104.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2675…2374backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked No | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71b6…1f27backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…08e5backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +299.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 59c | 97.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03a5…9d0ebacked Yes | 51c | 97.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…81dbbacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ac…5a76backed Yes | 69c | 86.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc195…5f72backed Yes | 24c | 85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefdf…b489backed Yes | 58c | 82.25$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x850c…672ebacked Yes | 59c | 82.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…0d4dbacked No | 66c | 77.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a12…264abacked Yes | 34c | 75.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad4…dc12backed Yes | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?this page
- Less than 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 49 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 50 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 51 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 53 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
- Will 54 or more Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.