TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbe89…b88c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
448
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst NFL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT15243.4%66 W · 86 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 152 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$47.05
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$155
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+42.9%+$2,143.49
Will Stephen Miran be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Scott Bessent be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will None in 2025 occur?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+488.2%+$83
Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify before Congress in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$111
Trump x Khamenei talk in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$44.25
Will Steve Witkoff be next National Security Advisor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52
Will Stephen Miller be next National Security Advisor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Keith Kellogg be next National Security Advisor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
Will Michael Anton be next National Security Advisor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+28.4%+$28.41
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Panick in the White Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$75.55
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+198.4%+$2,977.56
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$62
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.2%+$43.92
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$37.14
Will anyone vote "No" to releasing the Epstein files?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will the government shutdown end November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$11
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+188.4%+$87.77
Showing 25 of 152 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT7737.7%29 W · 48 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+2.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Warsh say "Oil" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will no one dissent the July Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$274.49
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$128,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$38,366.93
Will Warsh say "Goods Inflation" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Warsh say "Money" during June Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+99.2%+$24.81
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+300%+$55.56
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+286.9%+$459.1
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Powell say "Data Center" during April press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+373.9%+$93.19
Will Kevin Warsh say "God" during Nomination Hearing?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.06
Will the 10-year treasury yield hit 4.4% by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.9
Will Powell say "Refund" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Powell say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Will Powell say "Successor" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+227.1%+$97.26
Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+133%+$166.24
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.22
Will Powell say "Recession" during March press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+908.1%+$90.81
March Fed Derivative: "25bps cut" flips "Pause" by Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Trump drops Powell investigation by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$893Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$893.29
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$287Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+126%+$361.62
Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$29
ECB rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT4740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the July interest rate announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$100
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,366Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,366
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+52.6%+$7.89
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the April meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.93
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the January meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+30.3%+$605.55
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+154.3%+$77.14
Another MP leaves Conservative Party of Canada by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$15.42
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$79.92
Nothing Ever Happens: France Editionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT+28.3%+$28.57
U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$16.8
Liberal party signs coalition agreement before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Conservative Party win between 41% and 44% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+336.8%+$115.05
Will the Conservative Party win between 44% and 47% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Conservative Party win between 38% and 41% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$44
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,000
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Brad Lander?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez endorse Zohran Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$56.76
Will the Liberal Party win between 44% and 47% of the vote in the 2025 Canadian election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$55
Poilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$126.5
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+375.8%+$2,705.71
Will Trump call Carney a "Governor" before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT+53.9%+$134.74
Trump meets with Carney before June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Poilievre resigns as leader of Conservatives by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jul 28, 2026, EDT4431.8%14 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$35
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 9-12%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will Mikie Sherrill win by 6-9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Zohran Mamdani win 4 boroughs in the 2025 New York City Mayoral General Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+111.7%+$36.85
Will Zohran Mamdani win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Eric Adams win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+247.7%+$61.93
Will Jay Jones win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+51.5%+$51.52
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+132.6%+$33.14
Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$33.82
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+56.5%+$11.3
Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$30.8
Will anyone say "Charlie" or "Kirk" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will anyone say "Crypto" or "DOGE" during 1st NYC mayoral debate on October 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will EJ Antoni be confirmed as BLS Commissioner in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$287.8
Will Mike Waltz receive 53 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Mike Waltz receive 54 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.7
Will Mike Waltz receive 55 or more YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Mike Waltz receive 51 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will Mike Waltz receive 52 YEA votes in his UN Ambassador confirmation vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$63
Will Kathy Hochul endorse Mamdani?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+81%+$27.45
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT3669.4%25 W · 11 L+6.1wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+39.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+454.2%+$68.13
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+216.5%+$130.99
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+60.8%+$30.39
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$70.75
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$72.13
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+193.9%+$97.43
Iran strike on US military by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$48.6
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$60.25
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+31.7%+$126.78
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+309.6%+$77.4
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+194.1%+$87.35
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+192.3%+$101.9
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$260
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+63.9%+$78
Will Trump say "Department of War" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Will Trump say "Hottest" during speech to Israeli Parliament on October 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+100.1%+$15.02
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+26.5%+$132.27
Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
Israel strikes Iran before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$50.53
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+68.1%+$272.32
Witkoff in Qatar by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,335Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,335
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,002Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,002
Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.78
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Will Trump talk to Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$398
Will Trump meet with Abdel Fattah El-Sisi in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$327Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+205.9%+$673.69
Will Trump meet with Putin by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$127
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for less than 2 seconds?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+27.8%+$5.57
Will Putin meet with Trump by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+241.5%+$60.39
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+74.3%+$231.18
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Trump meet with Ahmed al-Sharaa in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+121.2%+$426.77
Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US lifts Russia sanctions before April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+41.7%+$417.12
Trump meets with Zelenskyy in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ukraine agree to pay back U.S. aid before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+49.9%+$99.81
Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2025, EDT+145.2%+$145.24
Trump admin announces cutting Ukraine aid by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+284.6%+$56.92
Will Donald Trump say "Crimea" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "Dictator" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Donald Trump say "Mineral" during his presser with Zelenskyy on Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2025, EST+1,108.9%+$221.78
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick23cpaid+359.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Core CPI YoY be 3.1% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.6
Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will US GDP growth in Q4 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+85.2%+$230
Will annual inflation increase by 2.2% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.4
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.21
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$18.8
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.7% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$66.55
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$15.2
US stagflation in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$427Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+29.7%+$126.87
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.6%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$80.5
Will the December 2025 unemployment rate be 4.7%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+11,602.1%+$2,181.2
Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$81.6
Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Will the US add between 25k and 50k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will annual inflation increase by 2.6% or less in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2025, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-61.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump invite the Philadelphia Eagles to the White House?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT+25.2%+$25.19
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,400
Will Donald Trump say "DEI" or "Diversity Equity and Inclusion" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Will Donald Trump say "China" 3+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST+47.4%+$47.35
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$1,170
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Donald Trump say "Biden" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Donald Trump say "Putin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$240
Will Donald Trump say "Ukraine" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Donald Trump say "Panama" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$118.25
Will Donald Trump say "Taylor" or "Swift" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Donald Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during Super Bowl pregame interview?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2025, EST+123.4%+$1,166.09
All 13 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$131
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $670b on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$54
Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will iPhone 17 cost $1,000 or more? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$95
OpenAI browser in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+83.3%+$20.82
Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $350b and $360b on June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will Trump publicly disparage Elon before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+577.1%+$173.14
Will Musk say "Rare Earth" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+394.3%+$126.19
Will Musk say "DOGE" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2025, EDT+258.8%+$276.91
All 11 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$43.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mark Cuban launch a coin by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2025, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump attend UFC 318?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.