Middle East · resolved market
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x17af003e13cafac7012ce86bae59af936cc2304249cf63b6fc718a30dbf9e892
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,549
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,549 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 22c | 4,721$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.37 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,882$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.55 | 156 | 29.5%46 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x375d…983ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,787$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 15cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b49…ab21backed Yes | 20c | 2,474$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,293$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.59 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…c81fbacked No | 77c | 1,139$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.53 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6a…5522backed No | 77c | 1,109$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…efa3backed No | 77c | 948.85$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -10.3wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Yes | 21c | 933.24$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.62 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 26c | 682.96$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 215 | 25.1%54 W · 161 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb716…f61cbacked No | 74c | 599.97$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 30c | 519.44$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.61 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x969c…1039backed Yes | 19c | 494.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 23cpaid | +175%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 460.31$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.94 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Yes | 9c | 426.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4e…8d72backed Yes | 24c | 417.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1626…9992backed Yes | 24c | 414.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df9…468cbacked Yes | 25c | 401.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 27.5%39 W · 103 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 23c | 400$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 171 | 29.2%50 W · 121 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…01d6backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…d324backed No | 80c | 375$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 21c | 372.21$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.86 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc5…4626backed Yes | 36c | 370.28$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +765.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 25c | 366.18$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.22 | 217 | 51.6%112 W · 105 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…ba87backed Yes | 22c | 365$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…c831backed Yes | 30c | 330.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +106%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe89…b88cbacked No | 78c | 320.75$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +6.1wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…04adbacked Yes | 23c | 311.82$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.71 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 80c | 311.41$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.45 | 359 | 21.4%77 W · 282 L | -23.8wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked Yes | 5c | 309.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 79c | 306.38$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 486 | 30.5%148 W · 338 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 76c | 300$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 341 | 43.4%148 W · 193 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 119 | 44.5%53 W · 66 L | -17.8wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 20c | 282.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 366 | 26.8%98 W · 268 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce3f…67c9backed Yes | 27c | 264$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.59 | 195 | 34.4%67 W · 128 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39a…abedbacked No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d38…1b41backed No | 80c | 226$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe6…cdc6backed No | 76c | 221.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.17 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.24per pick | 53cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…a439backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26bf…b413backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8786…f1aabacked No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…3869backed No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf17…97d1backed Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 113 | 34.5%39 W · 74 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 24c | 195.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe430…9660backed No | 79c | 195.19$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8561…337bbacked Yes | 26c | 194.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24fb…973ebacked No | 71c | 191.1$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 34cpaid | +78%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe59d…3774backed Yes | 26c | 190.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcd…68edbacked Yes | 27c | 184.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…bae8backed No | 74c | 178.62$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce0e…1300backed No | 70c | 174.89$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…6342backed Yes | 33c | 149.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 71c | 146.37$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.75 | 317 | 28.7%91 W · 226 L | -35.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb657…c871backed Yes | 28c | 145$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 23c | 141.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 17c | 141.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1874…09c7backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1477…17e4backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612b…6fddbacked No | 71c | 140.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77a1…fec1backed Yes | 37c | 135.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -64%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4996…e637backed No | 76c | 131.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714a…4a1bbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a44…0196backed Yes | 17c | 130.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6999…f83bbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x763a…e301backed No | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…8262backed Yes | 32c | 124.62$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 76 | 36.8%28 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…76a4backed Yes | 9c | 118.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 23c | 112.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 16cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 29c | 102.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b18ebacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8924…c8d2backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 39.5%98 W · 150 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b7…0704backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45bd…d20abacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x645a…fd84backed No | 78c | 94.08$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 247 | 59.1%146 W · 101 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…a363backed No | 70c | 92.49$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebcd…d2efbacked No | 80c | 88.66$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Yes | 23c | 83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.09 | 166 | 51.2%85 W · 81 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf62…d794backed No | 78c | 78.41$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…3da2backed Yes | 23c | 74.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04a…acfcbacked No | 77c | 70.4$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.19 | 290 | 27.9%81 W · 209 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8964…0becbacked No | 80c | 66.36$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8a…8eabbacked No | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…47bebacked No | 77c | 65.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc962…7f10backed No | 80c | 64.49$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…a98fbacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 20c | 60.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf6…7521backed No | 77c | 59.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…2a69backed Yes | 23c | 56.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 35c | 50.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…f6ffbacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cef…af02backed Yes | 24c | 49.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 49.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.