TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xde87…11a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
224
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: La Liga, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 54 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT11833.9%40 W · 78 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid+29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 118 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$130.33
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,401.99
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,661.67
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$227.5
Will USD reach 2.0M Iranian rials by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+207.7%+$1,405.91
Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+1,008.7%+$2,607.72
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$2,103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,103.21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$90.32
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.04
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$554.7
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,656Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+133.6%+$3,547.96
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$290.4
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.5
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.9
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$590Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$590
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$239.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.53
Showing 25 of 118 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT6835.3%24 W · 44 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-30.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.79
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.02
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Pablo Llamas Ruiz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Hamad Medjedovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+90.3%+$128.1
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrinobacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Fokina (+1.5)backed Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$179.19
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landalucebacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$406Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$114.4
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Leheckabacked Jiri Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Flavio Cobolli vs Terence Atmanebacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$161.81
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machacbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Sinner vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$245.85
Blockx vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$335.52
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Fils (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$635Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$389.11
Barcelona Open: Alex de Minaur vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$398Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$398.03
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodarbacked Jaume Munar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Stan Wawrinkabacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$100.65
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Sinner (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.5%+$151.31
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$157.48
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+176.2%+$403.43
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$305
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.32
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.38
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$200
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.4%+$553.45
Liverpool FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$503.78
Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.06
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$239.4
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.53
All 16 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
Will Solana dip to $100 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$99.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Cavaliers: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$130.81
76ers vs. Hornets: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100%+$200
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran removed from FIFA World Cup by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$423.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.