Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb02272ebdd37d4ae595341fad94eb7aeadf073bc2b7057bbf5a251295ec1843
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Darderiof Zverev, Darderi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Darderi | 47c | 4,300$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,264.01 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Darderi | 41c | 3,500$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.16 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Darderi | 40c | 2,687$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612.3 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43eb…cf57backed Zverev | 61c | 2,657$1,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed Zverev | 52c | 2,499$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.62 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked Darderi | 49c | 2,368$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.76 | 416 | 45.4%189 W · 227 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Zverev | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 366 | 57.7%211 W · 155 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Zverev | 55c | 999.96$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.98 | 354 | 39.8%141 W · 213 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Zverev | 59c | 883.18$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.08 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed Zverev | 55c | 599.99$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Zverev | 48c | 594.5$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.38 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Zverev | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Zverev | 52c | 513.99$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.49 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Zverev | 53c | 499.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.06 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Darderi | 44c | 439.27$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.27 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Zverev | 58c | 410$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.3 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Darderi | 42c | 358$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.64 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…5c4cbacked Zverev | 59c | 337.14$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.91 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa263…6cf0backed Zverev | 57c | 330.65$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.47 | 175 | 38.3%67 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Darderi | 42c | 217.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.72 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…b051backed Zverev | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 416 | 44.5%185 W · 231 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde87…11a2backed Zverev | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Zverev | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 173 | 59.5%103 W · 70 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Darderi | 42c | 172.41$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Zverev | 59c | 170.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc93…b91dbacked Zverev | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Zverev | 58c | 154.41$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.56 | 325 | 54.2%176 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d8…0c91backed Zverev | 69c | 150.31$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.25 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Zverev | 58c | 134.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…eda7backed Darderi | 44c | 134.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 418 | 46.2%193 W · 225 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8499…950dbacked Darderi | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5d…6a8dbacked Zverev | 57c | 105.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked Zverev | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 509 | 52.1%265 W · 244 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Darderi | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Zverev | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 240 | 55%132 W · 108 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Zverev | 58c | 99.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Darderi | 42c | 95.2$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.22 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Darderi | 41c | 89.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda39…1865backed Zverev | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…0efebacked Zverev | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Zverev | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b7…bc65backed Zverev | 56c | 58.42$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…b456backed Zverev | 56c | 53.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Darderi | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Zverev | 51c | 44.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Darderi | 43c | 40.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…a39bbacked Zverev | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Darderi | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Darderi | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Zverev | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 491 | 51.7%254 W · 237 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0514…a77cbacked Zverev | 58c | 20.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Darderi (+1.5)this page
- Darderi vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander ZverevLuciano Darderi won
- Luciano Darderi vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Darderi vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.