TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7b75…6679

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
140
Categories scored
2
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT12350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 123 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$96.85
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$49.97
Jannik Sinner vs. Novak Djokovic: Total Sets O/U 3.5backed Over 3.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Djokovic (+1.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$113
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Taylor Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$122.41
Set Handicap: Noskova (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+151.1%+$75.55
Set Handicap: Kostyuk (-1.5) vs Paolini (+1.5)backed Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$122.22
Set 1 Winner: Pegula vs Gauffbacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$11.32
Wimbledon ATP: Grigor Dimitrov vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$104.08
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$62.36
Wimbledon WTA: Jasmine Paolini vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Cobolli (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreevabacked Maja Chwalinska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$724.14
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,122
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+70.7%+$707.2
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Shnaider (+1.5)backed Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Showing 25 of 123 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-61.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.04
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.95
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$140.43
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$185.71
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.01
All 17 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.