Fifa International · resolved market
Lionel Messi: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd92bc27584a025ecd9d7dc273fca9321a725436fa5f3be0a21cc1b94a7cd1207
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,132,189
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,130,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,132,189 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,019 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…7320backed Yes | 51c | 440,000$226,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226,520.59 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 49c | 199,999$97,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101,999.26 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 49c | 61,140$29,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,181.27 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 79c | 57,169$45,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,812.58 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked No | 47c | 50,000$23,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,299.84 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…9d83backed Yes | 51c | 49,020$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed No | 48c | 47,431$22,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,664.3 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes | 42c | 47,317$19,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,821.43 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 51c | 42,500$21,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,724.89 | 464 | 64.9%301 W · 163 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 55c | 42,404$23,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,109.52 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked No | 48c | 40,000$19,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,800 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed No | 48c | 30,785$14,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,955.88 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 52c | 30,731$15,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,881.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3f…8517backed No | 48c | 29,300$14,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,235.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 53c | 28,302$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed No | 48c | 27,776$13,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,443.52 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed No | 50c | 22,414$11,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,192.65 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…2e36backed No | 49c | 20,715$10,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,564.65 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked No | 48c | 19,900$9,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,347.9 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Yes | 51c | 19,541$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed No | 54c | 19,262$10,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,846.81 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 51c | 17,548$8,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,873.84 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 49c | 16,250$7,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,352.4 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…461bbacked Yes | 0c | 16,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 49c | 15,306$7,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,734.49 | 707 | 50.1%354 W · 353 L | +25.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Yes | 52c | 14,417$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 48c | 13,000$6,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.94 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 48c | 12,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,240 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed No | 47c | 11,986$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,292.82 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde82…705dbacked No | 48c | 11,673$5,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,070.02 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked No | 50c | 11,660$5,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,834.94 | 131 | 63.4%83 W · 48 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 65c | 11,240$7,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,964.64 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ce…9f80backed No | 49c | 10,500$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,355 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8504…88dcbacked Yes | 47c | 10,495$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 51c | 10,297$5,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,212.2 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 48c | 10,000$4,806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,193.53 | 379 | 59.1%224 W · 155 L | +20.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 219 | 37%81 W · 138 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…900dbacked Yes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,200 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked No | 48c | 9,944$4,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,171.02 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…1500backed Yes | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…4c55backed Yes | 52c | 9,707$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed No | 56c | 9,506$5,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,182.6 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 50c | 9,227$4,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.33 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed No | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.9 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 48c | 7,992$3,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,128.41 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked No | 49c | 7,000$3,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 54c | 6,893$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,143.24 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Yes | 51c | 6,844$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.25 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…204bbacked Yes | 51c | 6,750$3,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,442.64 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Yes | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 67c | 6,537$4,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.25 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 48c | 6,500$3,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145 | 228 | 46.5%106 W · 122 L | +10.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…e48ebacked No | 58c | 6,254$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,628.3 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.06 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed No | 47c | 6,075$2,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,219.76 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc99d…93b0backed Yes | 53c | 6,004$3,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,179.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,120.08 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked No | 48c | 5,861$2,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,023.87 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…e2b4backed Yes | 51c | 5,739$2,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,926.87 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Yes | 50c | 5,625$2,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,812.68 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 47c | 5,555$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,944.11 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…acefbacked Yes | 51c | 5,352$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,729.63 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 5,207$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.98 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Yes | 53c | 5,067$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 51c | 4,885$2,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.87 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a8…5204backed Yes | 42c | 4,707$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 71 | 22.5%16 W · 55 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed No | 49c | 4,444$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.4 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…947abacked Yes | 42c | 4,341$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.78 | 188 | 43.1%81 W · 107 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…808ebacked No | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.8 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd7…8131backed Yes | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,040 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Yes | 52c | 3,853$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a6…6ea4backed Yes | 52c | 3,850$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a79…b1a8backed Yes | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 77 | 29.9%23 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe827…5209backed No | 54c | 3,799$2,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.3 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 49c | 3,705$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.23 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked No | 53c | 3,457$1,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.03 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 51c | 3,136$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.97 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 432 | 48.4%209 W · 223 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…5797backed Yes | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…4684backed No | 50c | 3,000$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.99 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…dcfebacked No | 66c | 2,952$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.52 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 53c | 2,850$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.5 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9920…8f8ebacked Yes | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 56c | 2,733$1,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.71 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 122 | 27.9%34 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 53c | 2,500$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 52c | 2,268$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.95 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 2,246$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.91 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed No | 58c | 2,223$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.72 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a2…6883backed Yes | 51c | 2,157$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked No | 49c | 2,150$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.5 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +6.7wins | +0.25per pick | 38cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 52c | 2,114$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,096 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 49c | 2,009$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,030.02 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 51c | 2,005$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.69 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed No | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 68. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
- Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsYes won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 2+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
- Breel Embolo: 5+ shotsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
- Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsYes won
- Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsYes won
- Denis Zakaria: 1+ shotsYes won
- Denis Zakaria: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
- Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
- Fabian Rieder: 1+ goalsNo won
- Facundo Medina: 2+ shotsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
- Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
- Granit Xhaka: 2+ shotsYes won
- Granit Xhaka: 3+ shotsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
- Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
- Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shotsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 1+ assistsNo won
- Leandro Paredes: 2+ shotsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsNo won
- Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
- Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
- Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.