TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shots

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,166
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,676

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,166 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xca7c…e994backed No65c1,304$847 inWon+$456.2437350.1%187 W · 186 L+45.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+28%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes32c1,000$320 inLost-$3201,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d5…880abacked No68c988.7$672 inWon+$316.381376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.7wins+0.29per pick48cpaid+52%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes22c831.67$186 inLost-$185.811,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Yes34c780$265 inLost-$264.9946230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes21c444$93 inLost-$93.2488838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes30c359.87$108 inLost-$107.962,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed No79c343.78$272 inWon+$72.1945740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Yes15c301.63$44 inLost-$44.1882537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed No70c262.62$184 inWon+$78.1812542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Yes27c248.96$66 inLost-$66.2669826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked No78c195.99$153 inWon+$43.1963035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed No79c153.21$121 inWon+$31.9516336.2%59 W · 104 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8812…c41abacked Yes32c103.4$33 inLost-$33.0945254.6%247 W · 205 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No78c51.79$40 inWon+$11.652,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes37c47.13$18 inLost-$17.51,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e24…ec07backed No69c42$29 inWon+$13.0240352.1%210 W · 193 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x82a0…14b3backed Yes31c41.85$13 inLost-$13.0228257.1%161 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94ec…1a4bbacked No68c33.46$23 inWon+$10.716366.7%42 W · 21 L+12.1wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+52.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0xa09a…5cb8backed No69c25$17 inWon+$7.7517356.1%97 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3211…bcf7backed No71c21$15 inWon+$6.0936953.9%199 W · 170 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No70c20$14 inWon+$622247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4c…f414backed No73c20$15 inWon+$5.5580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe10d…854dbacked No78c20$16 inWon+$4.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b4…3c5abacked No69c16$11 inWon+$4.9610815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 68. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.