Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x132416bbb6b327dc3139a48de0c20b489f646c222c934a3f4a2f34b36c3d8c7a

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jul 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $231,092
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $229,640

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $231,092 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes	15c	24,171$3,678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,678.27	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes	16c	18,452$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	324	29.9%97 W · 227 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Yes	15c	13,333$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	99	29.3%29 W · 70 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac3…78a5backed Yes	15c	11,013$1,652 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,651.94	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18e6…d83dbacked Yes	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	126	16.7%21 W · 105 L	-12.6wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe4a1…e26abacked Yes	16c	7,405$1,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,184.83	34	32.4%11 W · 23 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2bc…0821backed Yes	17c	5,882$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa803…2949backed Yes	16c	5,856$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.92	16	25%4 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Yes	16c	4,375$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.97	72	25%18 W · 54 L	-5.3wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-30%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5236…d9f7backed Yes	15c	3,789$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.4	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+64.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe48d…a64dbacked Yes	16c	3,750$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Yes	15c	3,187$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.51	63	17.5%11 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf83c…e423backed Yes	16c	3,161$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.46	105	37.1%39 W · 66 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Yes	16c	3,132$501 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$501.04	154	41.6%64 W · 90 L	+12.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x991c…0b56backed Yes	15c	2,667$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Yes	17c	2,500$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$425	122	27.9%34 W · 88 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b8…c368backed Yes	16c	2,500$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	177	33.9%60 W · 117 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	16c	2,372$384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.8	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes	16c	2,056$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.98	254	18.1%46 W · 208 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	+21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c5b…26e2backed Yes	16c	2,000$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	38	57.9%22 W · 16 L	+8.0wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+54.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes	16c	1,804$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.57	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x078e…9d94backed Yes	10c	1,667$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	51	37.3%19 W · 32 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4bdb…92dbbacked Yes	15c	1,648$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.22	53	26.4%14 W · 39 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ab…178dbacked Yes	11c	1,576$169 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.65	198	23.7%47 W · 151 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes	15c	1,500$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$226.55	3,077	47%1,447 W · 1,630 L	-11.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe471…c87cbacked Yes	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	278	11.9%33 W · 245 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4457…f3e2backed Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	142	31%44 W · 98 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+13%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Yes	16c	1,400$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	107	18.7%20 W · 87 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	4c	1,397$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.96	423	36.9%156 W · 267 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f69…f76dbacked Yes	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	51	21.6%11 W · 40 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	+3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e22…9fa5backed Yes	15c	1,333$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	318	9.4%30 W · 288 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes	16c	1,300$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208	151	40.4%61 W · 90 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Yes	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	379	55.7%211 W · 168 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Yes	14c	999.94$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.99	116	38.8%45 W · 71 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Yes	15c	970$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.5	176	25%44 W · 132 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+32.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d8…9574backed Yes	15c	966.67$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8760…a2c6backed Yes	16c	937.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	26cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8948…28d5backed Yes	15c	900$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-75.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	13c	892.63$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.03	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf695…409fbacked Yes	17c	868.63$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.47	62	21%13 W · 49 L	-7.9wins	-0.13per pick	34cpaid	-57.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x703e…ad46backed Yes	12c	843.84$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	15c	800$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	454	21.4%97 W · 357 L	-10.1wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ee6…9d8fbacked Yes	18c	753.7$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.73	56	19.6%11 W · 45 L	-4.9wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2682…4997backed Yes	16c	698.33$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.73	19	21.1%4 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.20per pick	41cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	204	27.5%56 W · 148 L	+10.2wins	+0.05per pick	22cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da4…b772backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc269…7343backed Yes	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+4.6wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+63.8%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	309	28.8%89 W · 220 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4b…c81ebacked Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	77	31.2%24 W · 53 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dd8…e741backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	23	17.4%4 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.11per pick	28cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	224	48.2%108 W · 116 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd31…1252backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	194	11.9%23 W · 171 L	-6.6wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-33.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe79…8801backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a1…2771backed Yes	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe30c…9499backed Yes	17c	588.24$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xad1e…2ad4backed Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	60	33.3%20 W · 40 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Yes	15c	500$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	452	48.9%221 W · 231 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Yes	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	86	17.4%15 W · 71 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fa7…2723backed Yes	16c	468.75$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	62	27.4%17 W · 45 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-25%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83ca…5168backed Yes	15c	420.07$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.01	91	48.4%44 W · 47 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+12%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x63aa…8b6fbacked Yes	16c	412.5$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-27%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62aa…a492backed Yes	17c	364.33$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd151…e032backed Yes	15c	351.26$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07db…29e4backed Yes	16c	350.88$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.14	174	34.5%60 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Yes	14c	345.87$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.42	165	35.2%58 W · 107 L	+15.3wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0887…bf3bbacked Yes	16c	343.44$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.95	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b9b…fc85backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cca…c831backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	35	11.4%4 W · 31 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	175	6.3%11 W · 164 L	-4.4wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-37%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d32…9973backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	20%8 W · 32 L	-3.7wins	-0.09per pick	29cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	156	45.5%71 W · 85 L	+9.3wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+10%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x426f…bdadbacked Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	16	31.3%5 W · 11 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+37.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb3…2d0ebacked Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	36%32 W · 57 L	-5.8wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd078…6251backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	40cpaid	+87.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51fc…ed09backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	58	34.5%20 W · 38 L	-6.0wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-29%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd20b…6b05backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8536…bed6backed Yes	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	45	22.2%10 W · 35 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-48.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Yes	15c	306.67$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	522	17.4%91 W · 431 L	-11.1wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x206c…d936backed Yes	15c	300$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+4.1wins	+0.11per pick	21cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Yes	17c	300$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x605a…bf3bbacked Yes	16c	299.99$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	200	36.5%73 W · 127 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes	15c	299.26$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.89	414	29%120 W · 294 L	+6.6wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+12%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0e6…fa86backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd19…e070backed Yes	17c	294.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9b…8e1cbacked Yes	16c	289.56$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.33	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+8.3wins	+0.12per pick	42cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xeea2…f26dbacked Yes	5c	249.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.5	84	21.4%18 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb67…b610backed Yes	16c	237.06$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.93	46	17.4%8 W · 38 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	16cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Yes	16c	231.25$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	148	42.6%63 W · 85 L	+8.6wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes	16c	220.85$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	153	25.5%39 W · 114 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x538d…55afbacked Yes	12c	219.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	+4.0wins	+0.21per pick	32cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Yes	16c	218.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	229	19.2%44 W · 185 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0341…9294backed Yes	15c	213.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	494	26.7%132 W · 362 L	-9.8wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcf8…6d0ebacked Yes	9c	212.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	141	27.7%39 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ee…150abacked Yes	15c	210$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.37	138	42.8%59 W · 79 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	438	19.2%84 W · 354 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ca…0d75backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	13cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb74…997cbacked Yes	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	72	30.6%22 W · 50 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a7…4a91backed Yes	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	105	18.1%19 W · 86 L	-7.8wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 68. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsthis page
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ assistsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ goalsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 1+ shotsYes won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ goalsNo won
Alexis Mac Allister: 2+ shotsYes won
Breel Embolo: 1+ assistsNo won
Breel Embolo: 1+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 1+ shotsYes won
Breel Embolo: 2+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 2+ shotsNo won
Breel Embolo: 3+ goalsNo won
Breel Embolo: 3+ shotsNo won
Breel Embolo: 5+ shotsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 1+ assistsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goalsYes won
Dan Ndoye: 1+ goals + assistsYes won
Dan Ndoye: 2+ goalsNo won
Dan Ndoye: 2+ shotsYes won
Dan Ndoye: 3+ shotsYes won
Denis Zakaria: 1+ shotsYes won
Denis Zakaria: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ assistsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 1+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 2+ shotsNo won
Enzo Fernández: 3+ shotsNo won
Fabian Rieder: 1+ goalsNo won
Facundo Medina: 2+ shotsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 1+ goalsNo won
Giuliano Simeone: 3+ goalsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 1+ assistsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 1+ goalsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 1+ shotsYes won
Granit Xhaka: 2+ goalsNo won
Granit Xhaka: 2+ shotsYes won
Granit Xhaka: 3+ shotsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 1+ assistsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 1+ goalsNo won
Johan Manzambi: 2+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 1+ shotsYes won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ assistsNo won
Julián Álvarez: 2+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ goals + assistsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 1+ shotsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ goalsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won
Lautaro Martínez: 3+ shotsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 1+ assistsNo won
Leandro Paredes: 2+ shotsNo won
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsYes won
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsNo won
Lionel Messi: 2+ assistsNo won
Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsNo won
Lisandro Martínez: 1+ shotsYes won
Lisandro Martínez: 2+ shotsNo won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Lionel Messi: 2+ goals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event