TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Lionel Messi: 1+ assists

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,492

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcb51…d2f5backed No73c10,000$7,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,299.812955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed No72c4,652$3,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,343.3236250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes26c4,344$1,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.172,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x696a…e23abacked No74c2,844$2,111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1111540%6 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb748…dbddbacked Yes31c2,441$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.175339.6%21 W · 32 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No73c2,094$1,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.562,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcd2…0381backed Yes27c2,037$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.0410819.4%21 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+4.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x18c4…bc41backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.853611.1%4 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-33.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed No69c1,654$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.8433350.5%168 W · 165 L+24.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked No71c1,397$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.6411348.7%55 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde74…77abbacked No73c1,200$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87428873.3%211 W · 77 L+21.7wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x481a…e61abacked Yes27c1,111$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.114553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a2…6883backed Yes27c1,041$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.745429.6%16 W · 38 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Yes27c999.99$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.9935446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb294…a9f4backed No75c945.82$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.376261.3%38 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c747.77$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.168,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes26c733.99$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.1540649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Yes28c730$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.619062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x65f6…c4a5backed Yes31c645.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.165437%20 W · 34 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+18%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f5d…e4e5backed Yes27c555.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.563928.2%11 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No73c515.99$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.681,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes27c500.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.7288838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc757…e5bebacked Yes30c468.7$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.092445.8%11 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Yes27c444.44$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.4427637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf400…2f56backed Yes27c420$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.63953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No3c398.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.964,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dd…cca5backed Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.3711323%26 W · 87 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48b1…03ecbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.371947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+75.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.8316016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No73c307.6$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.173,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ff2…5b93backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2196341.3%26 W · 37 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked No73c268.99$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.381,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9209…b4d5backed No75c258.59$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.4210351.5%53 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0afb…d23dbacked Yes27c255.3$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.374443.2%19 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked No72c251.61$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.172,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa9…58eebacked No71c203$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.133339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bac…8769backed Yes27c201.11$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.811838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1306…c689backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15015645.5%71 W · 85 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0627…f26dbacked Yes28c200$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1447532%24 W · 51 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Yes27c200$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1469830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c83…28d9backed Yes27c185.19$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329f…81b4backed Yes29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.418043.8%35 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c6…0ff4backed Yes27c172.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.674020%8 W · 32 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xce74…e6ecbacked Yes26c146.15$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.1528055%154 W · 126 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked No73c124.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.714553.8%78 W · 67 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed No63c120.14$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.12,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdac1…baddbacked No64c116.63$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6531171.4%222 W · 89 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeed8…82f3backed Yes27c113.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.77034.3%24 W · 46 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+17.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1113021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x538d…55afbacked Yes25c106.16$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.621952.6%10 W · 9 L+4.0wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+58.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No73c100.05$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.733,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e52…44e7backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618442.9%36 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-25.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7542332.9%139 W · 284 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe321…2d2ebacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758661.6%53 W · 33 L+13.0wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+36.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x258c…f0bebacked Yes27c92.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.824858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.591,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.596714.9%10 W · 57 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37bd…ed2abacked Yes26c90$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67856.4%44 W · 34 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde8b…fdb0backed Yes27c90$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.72254.5%12 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.24per pick31cpaid+66.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6711…1485backed Yes30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.331163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No69c78.85$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.62,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0be8…4071backed Yes25c77.44$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.081850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf841…b5bebacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.07837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick25cpaid-12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf851…ef53backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.074131.7%13 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-38.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5bf8…5b60backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.074348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x60e0…33fabacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0737526.1%98 W · 277 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5552…1effbacked Yes27c66.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.85250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddac…71cebacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.67825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcd6…f3c8backed Yes27c61.98$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2513556.3%76 W · 59 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9da5…2baabacked Yes27c58.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5616839.9%67 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a08…08b7backed Yes27c55.56$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.569934.3%34 W · 65 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xee4c…9278backed No75c54.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.664850%24 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8dd…1683backed No75c54.21$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.661735.3%6 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x973d…e294backed Yes28c53.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5730148.2%145 W · 156 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes29c53.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.841,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f18…d8f5backed Yes25c49.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.473770.3%26 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+35.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb7a3…9ac2backed Yes27c46.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.262832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1e0…c16bbacked Yes27c46.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.821838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadbe…8967backed No75c42.81$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.113850%19 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06f0…9771backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305657.1%32 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab82…1353backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308354.2%45 W · 38 L+6.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Yes29c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.315325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd8a…26e6backed Yes25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8f1…478bbacked Yes27c40$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.212948.8%63 W · 66 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7412…97a3backed Yes26c39.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.595141.2%21 W · 30 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No73c33.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.943,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed No74c32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5237971.2%270 W · 109 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed No73c30.47$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.281,29353.6%693 W · 600 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f51…4867backed Yes37c29.73$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick19cpaid+172.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No73c28.63$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.024761.7%29 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No72c25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.111,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ee…c9cdbacked No68c16.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.48858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ece…54e2backed No76c15.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.981127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4358…3e76backed No74c15.3$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2921051.4%108 W · 102 L+1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. Showing 60 of 68. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.