TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x66ee…c9cd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
209
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: CS2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 60 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8858%51 W · 37 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.81
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 3.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+100.7%+$41.85
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.3
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+43%+$13.5
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.81
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.27
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.86
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.98
England vs. Argentina: England O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$18.81
Julián Álvarez: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.33
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+30%+$4.28
Pedro Porro: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$11.83
Lamine Yamal: 4+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.12
France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.61
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.34
France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+27.5%+$9.16
Lionel Messi: 1+ assistsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.74
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+39%+$22.5
Harry Kane: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$23.11
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.92
Erling Haaland: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$38.96
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Halfbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.37
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersbacked Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.48
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.7
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT4080%32 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+24.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
CS2 — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$11.35
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #2 Playoffsbacked BASEMENT BOYS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.27
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+39.3%+$12.72
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Wildcard - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wildcard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$14.98
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs SPARTA (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Playoffsbacked Walczaki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+57.6%+$12.03
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Phantom - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+67%+$9.39
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Alliance (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$9.18
Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.94
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$14.37
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MIBR (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$29.28
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE (BO3) - DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.14
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+45%+$16.14
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs GenOne - Map 1 Winnerbacked GenOne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$14.93
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$7.39
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.06
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$11.12
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$7.23
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+60%+$7.8
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$3.61
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+43.5%+$8.83
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$11.44
Counter-Strike: BIG vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.72
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3259.4%19 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 1 Winner: Bejlek vs Gauffbacked Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$3.98
Cincinnati Open: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$4.37
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Townsend vs Elena Rybakinabacked Elena Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.31
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.86
National Bank Open: Alycia Parks vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$5.51
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilaganbacked Soon-Woo Kwon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.65
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
National Bank Open: Linda Noskova vs Caty McNallybacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.91
National Bank Open: Juncheng Shang vs Andrey Rublevbacked Juncheng Shang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$12.44
National Bank Open: Rebecca Sramkova vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$6.96
Canadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxlbacked Liam Draxl · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.03
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+65.6%+$10.17
National Bank Open: Elina Svitolina vs Jessica Bouzas Maneirobacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$4
National Bank Open: Tatjana Maria vs Caty McNallybacked Tatjana Maria · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.08
National Bank Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Daniel Altmaierbacked Aleksandar Vukic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.62
National Bank Open: Panna Udvardy vs Eva Lysbacked Panna Udvardy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$14.37
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Antonia Ruzic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.68
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.8
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Rafael Jodar vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.79
Wong vs. Blanch: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.63
Set 1 Winner: Fearnley vs Wolfbacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$8.57
Hamburg European Open: Katarzyna Kawa vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$15.73
Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs. Casper Ruud: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Eduardo Rodriguez: Strikeouts O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+87.5%+$11.05
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.37
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$19.39
Payton Tolle: Strikeouts O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.78
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.07
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Marinersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.32
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padresbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.75
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$23.25
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.72
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$19.12
Ben Rice: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.07
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.55
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.71
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Atlanta Braves vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.87
Shohei Ohtani: Home Runs O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$11.87
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$10.62
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$13.64
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.92
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$9.22
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+39.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Pcific Esports (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Valorant: Mandatory vs AlQadsiah Esports (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group Abacked AlQadsiah Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Canucksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.44
Canucks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Larne FC vs. FK Crvena zvezda: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$14.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.46
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.