CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82cd851e4ff0dfc56cbdc1c635708e5de4b6628c869600c648648c63782de337
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,037
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,474
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,037 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe0df…9cf9backed Over | 2c | 6,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 46c | 3,730$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.84 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 3,627$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,675.84 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 28c | 1,537$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.32 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked Over | 16c | 1,450$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.49 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Over | 46c | 1,348$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.26 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 47c | 1,109$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 476 | 55%262 W · 214 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 46c | 578.89$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.89 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 55c | 412.07$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.29 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed Over | 57c | 354$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.53 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Under | 53c | 334.15$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.05 | 489 | 39.7%194 W · 295 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 36c | 310.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.22 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 53c | 277.23$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 65c | 265.16$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 58c | 245.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.12 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9674…1302backed Over | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Under | 65c | 226$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 321 | 39.9%128 W · 193 L | -13.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 79c | 211.93$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.44 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Under | 57c | 195.4$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 47c | 187.23$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 380 | 49.5%188 W · 192 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Under | 53c | 169.74$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.74 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Over | 46c | 167.39$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 302 | 36.8%111 W · 191 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 42c | 166.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089f…f599backed Over | 50c | 160.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked Under | 55c | 135.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 328 | 57.9%190 W · 138 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x876b…d4a1backed Over | 61c | 127.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…6613backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 56c | 117.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.57 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef9…8731backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 374 | 53.2%199 W · 175 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 54c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 54c | 59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 59c | 51.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.01 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked Under | 54c | 49.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 63c | 43.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 700 | 60.1%421 W · 279 L | +70.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under | 75c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497e…a18abacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 49c | 39.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 45c | 31.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ee…c9cdbacked Under | 53c | 30.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 40 | 80%32 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 46c | 24.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…df5dbacked Over | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.