CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0998988176b1ba9588d6f01812ac9d14047e50dde803bcf0711a5b4939a6d635
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $349,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $408,677
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked 9z | 1c | 35,555$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.55 | 134 | 16.4%22 W · 112 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Alliance | 43c | 18,130$7,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,390.79 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed 9z | 62c | 17,275$10,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,710.2 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Alliance | 28c | 15,501$4,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,231.05 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0df…9cf9backed 9z | 2c | 14,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked 9z | 56c | 7,969$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,468 | 634 | 57.1%362 W · 272 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked 9z | 5c | 7,950$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9z | 54c | 7,053$3,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.12 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 9z | 54c | 6,347$3,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.2 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…5b4ebacked 9z | 40c | 5,169$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.74 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 9z | 52c | 5,017$2,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,583.95 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Alliance | 37c | 4,080$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,570.5 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked 9z | 66c | 3,582$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,361.34 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa113…bb53backed 9z | 42c | 3,275$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.5 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +139.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alliance | 42c | 3,060$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,781.92 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 62c | 3,028$1,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,871.53 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed 9z | 67c | 2,716$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.32 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34d5…e0c1backed Alliance | 25c | 2,716$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.05 | 365 | 55.9%204 W · 161 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed 9z | 62c | 2,711$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,684.87 | 225 | 54.2%122 W · 103 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked 9z | 62c | 2,695$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed 9z | 61c | 2,678$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.56 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed 9z | 63c | 2,500$1,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.11 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance | 47c | 2,334$1,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.43 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Alliance | 38c | 2,312$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.4 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Alliance | 28c | 2,078$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.11 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked Alliance | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 189 | 59.8%113 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 9z | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed 9z | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04cf…9f77backed 9z | 63c | 1,990$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.7 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Alliance | 38c | 1,900$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.99 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Alliance | 38c | 1,887$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.78 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance | 40c | 1,807$721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.5 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Alliance | 40c | 1,755$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.77 | 215 | 48.4%104 W · 111 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed Alliance | 40c | 1,735$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Alliance | 18c | 1,695$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.77 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa83f…b857backed Alliance | 38c | 1,657$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.34 | 127 | 49.6%63 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed 9z | 63c | 1,587$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 9z | 62c | 1,567$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.49 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…aa52backed 9z | 61c | 1,549$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked 9z | 25c | 1,535$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 420 | 37.9%159 W · 261 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked 9z | 73c | 1,502$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.99 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…d95bbacked 9z | 63c | 1,359$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.17 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…12d5backed 9z | 62c | 1,359$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.29 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Alliance | 38c | 1,279$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.04 | 368 | 45.1%166 W · 202 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 9z | 49c | 1,163$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.65 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9625…5bb7backed Alliance | 57c | 1,159$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.52 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9z | 40c | 1,084$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.6 | 618 | 34.6%214 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…5dabbacked Alliance | 25c | 1,010$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.99 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed Alliance | 34c | 1,003$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Alliance | 37c | 1,000$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.31 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…f719backed Alliance | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked 9z | 53c | 999.99$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.48 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…cde3backed 9z | 25c | 959.17$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.66 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Alliance | 37c | 917.38$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.38 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Alliance | 38c | 900$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.1 | 259 | 50.6%131 W · 128 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Alliance | 38c | 889.81$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.68 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…1aecbacked 9z | 64c | 884$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.76 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 9z | 62c | 883.45$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.74 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Alliance | 30c | 873.33$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.33 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c6…0123backed Alliance | 36c | 868.48$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.65 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked 9z | 64c | 837.5$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Alliance | 39c | 825.67$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.66 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked 9z | 53c | 816.63$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.89 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked 9z | 11c | 809.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed 9z | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1651…470fbacked Alliance | 37c | 777.41$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.41 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Alliance | 38c | 751.58$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.55 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Alliance | 37c | 750$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.5 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Alliance | 33c | 736.97$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.97 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Alliance | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.66 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed 9z | 69c | 688.94$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.1 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed 9z | 59c | 681.52$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 282 | 61.3%173 W · 109 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked 9z | 61c | 680.96$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed 9z | 45c | 626.67$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 9z | 58c | 622.58$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.35 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked 9z | 66c | 612.21$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.94 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed 9z | 61c | 610$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.1 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed 9z | 62c | 600$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed 9z | 63c | 579.96$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.37 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked 9z | 69c | 534.37$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.86 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Alliance | 33c | 503.03$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.03 | 244 | 38.9%95 W · 149 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked 9z | 49c | 502.04$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 265 | 46.8%124 W · 141 L | -18.5wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 9z | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed 9z | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed 9z | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked 9z | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z | 64c | 499.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed 9z | 68c | 497$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.97 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Alliance | 36c | 493.23$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.23 | 186 | 47.3%88 W · 98 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed 9z | 30c | 472.12$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.01 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Alliance | 55c | 468.84$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.84 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc1…9932backed Alliance | 28c | 466.43$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.43 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked 9z | 75c | 464.79$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed 9z | 65c | 451.5$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 199 | 40.7%81 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Alliance | 46c | 434.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.39 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Alliance | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed 9z | 73c | 417$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.12 | 462 | 46.8%216 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 9z | 56c | 413.62$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.