TailMyPicks
Market

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Allianceof Alliance, 9z
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$349,382
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$408,677

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $349,382 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 315 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5bbe…c65dbacked 9z1c35,555$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.5513416.4%22 W · 112 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Alliance43c18,130$7,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,390.7941340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed 9z62c17,275$10,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,710.233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Alliance28c15,501$4,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,231.0538546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0df…9cf9backed 9z2c14,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ebc…a33dbacked 9z56c7,969$4,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,46863457.1%362 W · 272 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6535…063fbacked 9z5c7,950$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked 9z54c7,053$3,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,777.123,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked 9z54c6,347$3,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,407.22,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32c3…5b4ebacked 9z40c5,169$2,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,083.742441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 9z52c5,017$2,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,583.954,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Alliance37c4,080$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,570.538358.7%225 W · 158 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked 9z66c3,582$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.341,52351.5%785 W · 738 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa113…bb53backed 9z42c3,275$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365.57353.4%39 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+139.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alliance42c3,060$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,781.922,36545.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L-58.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed 9z62c3,028$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.536,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed 9z67c2,716$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,809.322,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34d5…e0c1backed Alliance25c2,716$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,046.0536555.9%204 W · 161 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed 9z62c2,711$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.8722554.2%122 W · 103 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a9…da0abacked 9z62c2,695$1,671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,670.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0ac…a2c9backed 9z61c2,678$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.565455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed 9z63c2,500$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,575.1117249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Alliance47c2,334$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.432,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Alliance38c2,312$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,433.49047.8%43 W · 47 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc714…d152backed Alliance28c2,078$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.1111949.6%59 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x996c…b6ecbacked Alliance64c2,000$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72018959.8%113 W · 76 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed 9z1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205740%0 W · 574 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9671…3a70backed 9z1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick2cpaid-55%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04cf…9f77backed 9z63c1,990$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.75160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed Alliance38c1,900$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.9914847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Alliance38c1,887$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,174.781,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Alliance40c1,807$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,086.51,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Alliance40c1,755$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.7721548.4%104 W · 111 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedcc…41a1backed Alliance40c1,735$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8221953.4%117 W · 102 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x994d…3d8dbacked Alliance18c1,695$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.7752834.3%181 W · 347 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa83f…b857backed Alliance38c1,657$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,027.3412749.6%63 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed 9z63c1,587$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00029948.8%146 W · 153 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed 9z62c1,567$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.4917837.6%67 W · 111 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x500c…aa52backed 9z61c1,549$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-39.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked 9z25c1,535$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.142037.9%159 W · 261 L-17.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked 9z73c1,502$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.9922468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd01…d95bbacked 9z63c1,359$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.173253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c7f…12d5backed 9z62c1,359$842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$842.293357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Alliance38c1,279$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.0436845.1%166 W · 202 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed 9z49c1,163$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.652,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9625…5bb7backed Alliance57c1,159$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.525459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9z40c1,084$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.661834.6%214 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2fd…5dabbacked Alliance25c1,010$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.999746.4%45 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Alliance34c1,003$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66715948.4%77 W · 82 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Alliance37c1,000$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$626.3160248.7%293 W · 309 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cf…f719backed Alliance68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3205954.2%32 W · 27 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked 9z53c999.99$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.482,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a4…cde3backed 9z25c959.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.663240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Alliance37c917.38$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.3832542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ad…be4ebacked Alliance38c900$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.125950.6%131 W · 128 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Alliance38c889.81$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.686041.7%25 W · 35 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked 9z64c884$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.767332.9%24 W · 49 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked 9z62c883.45$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.7460953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Alliance30c873.33$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.3356239.5%222 W · 340 L-21.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45c6…0123backed Alliance36c868.48$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.656743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked 9z64c837.5$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53663541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb75b…e377backed Alliance39c825.67$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.6616743.1%72 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked 9z53c816.63$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.894,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked 9z11c809.09$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.831,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f76…aea6backed 9z62c806.45$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014839.2%58 W · 90 L-15.4wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-29.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1651…470fbacked Alliance37c777.41$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4110259.8%61 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Alliance38c751.58$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.552,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Alliance37c750$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.576546.7%357 W · 408 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219a…f65bbacked Alliance33c736.97$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.975040%20 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3449…4030backed Alliance29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6613738.7%53 W · 84 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed 9z69c688.94$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.11,04153.1%553 W · 488 L+63.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed 9z59c681.52$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40028261.3%173 W · 109 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x33c9…76afbacked 9z61c680.96$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.391833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed 9z45c626.67$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 9z58c622.58$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.355,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked 9z66c612.21$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.9435460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…b845backed 9z61c610$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.111061.8%68 W · 42 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x070f…ed83backed 9z62c600$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3727856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e43…6583backed 9z63c579.96$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.3713360.2%80 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked 9z69c534.37$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.863,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Alliance39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.825,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Alliance33c503.03$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.0324438.9%95 W · 149 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked 9z49c502.04$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24626546.8%124 W · 141 L-18.5wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 9z58c500$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2902,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked 9z66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33040349.1%198 W · 205 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed 9z4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2057422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed 9z35c500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17512651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcc36…d35dbacked 9z69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3456740.3%27 W · 40 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z64c499.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32022449.6%111 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed 9z68c497$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.972,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Alliance36c493.23$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.2318647.3%88 W · 98 L-0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79df…31d6backed 9z30c472.12$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.0127831.7%88 W · 190 L-1.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31b…d703backed Alliance55c468.84$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8438552.7%203 W · 182 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Alliance28c466.43$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.437054.3%38 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked 9z75c464.79$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3482,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed 9z65c451.5$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4819940.7%81 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257c…a408backed Alliance46c434.39$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.398045%36 W · 44 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…4822backed Alliance38c421.05$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.0511551.3%59 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed 9z73c417$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.1246246.8%216 W · 246 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed 9z56c413.62$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.1768172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.