CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6ba728c4f76153481842cfff210d64af896e2fc801be858069fbf121ec3375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Allianceof Alliance, 9z
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $263,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $263,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 253 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked 9z | 69c | 16,727$11,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,505.44 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Alliance | 28c | 15,555$4,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,199.56 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alliance | 33c | 8,753$2,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,898.85 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked 9z | 59c | 7,452$4,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.79 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…063fbacked 9z | 2c | 7,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked 9z | 54c | 5,519$2,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,954.91 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc93…718bbacked 9z | 2c | 5,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed 9z | 56c | 4,115$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.41 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 9z | 59c | 3,010$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.34 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Alliance | 41c | 2,720$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.64 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Alliance | 34c | 2,557$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.32 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Alliance | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.97 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed 9z | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | -55%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked 9z | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.99 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed 9z | 1c | 1,996$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…d790backed 9z | 1c | 1,972$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 53 | 9.4%5 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…4891backed Alliance | 37c | 1,909$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.04 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 9z | 66c | 1,892$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed 9z | 58c | 1,769$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.03 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x854b…8f97backed 9z | 11c | 1,764$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Alliance | 63c | 1,716$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.66 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8a…5f49backed 9z | 64c | 1,500$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.34 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Alliance | 34c | 1,451$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.97 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 9z | 55c | 1,392$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.6 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Alliance | 34c | 1,271$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$836.63 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedcc…41a1backed 9z | 50c | 1,204$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.78 | 219 | 53.4%117 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed 9z | 63c | 1,150$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.5 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Alliance | 32c | 1,149$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.54 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Alliance | 18c | 1,122$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.39 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Alliance | 47c | 1,056$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.42 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Alliance | 29c | 1,008$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.7 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6f…b760backed 9z | 61c | 1,004$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.71 | 316 | 47.5%150 W · 166 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed 9z | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 321 | 36.8%118 W · 203 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a57…7b0abacked 9z | 64c | 1,000$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Alliance | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alliance | 43c | 1,000$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.02 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed 9z | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.99 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed 9z | 65c | 966.73$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.81 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951f…e430backed Alliance | 43c | 937.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.79 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed 9z | 68c | 917.65$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765a…5ce4backed Alliance | 35c | 862.57$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.67 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Alliance | 33c | 859.81$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.49 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3702…9b19backed 9z | 47c | 753.28$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.25 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed 9z | 66c | 749.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Alliance | 37c | 726.84$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.65 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alliance | 28c | 710.31$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed 9z | 66c | 708.45$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.85 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed 9z | 8c | 705.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Alliance | 25c | 688$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.65 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed 9z | 45c | 668.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…9e2dbacked 9z | 18c | 666.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e5…7d84backed 9z | 18c | 666.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked 9z | 55c | 666.47$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.36 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Alliance | 38c | 663.45$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.45 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71a9…da0abacked 9z | 48c | 621.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x500c…aa52backed 9z | 37c | 612.11$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90a4…cde3backed 9z | 50c | 611.01$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.99 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Alliance | 48c | 603.62$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.41 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe28c…ffb3backed 9z | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed 9z | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Alliance | 41c | 591.66$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.88 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 34c | 587.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked 9z | 74c | 569.81$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.44 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2d…dd1ebacked Alliance | 36c | 565.45$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.79 | 399 | 70.7%282 W · 117 L | +38.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Alliance | 32c | 550$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.05 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked 9z | 56c | 540.34$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Alliance | 32c | 518.15$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.16 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alliance | 47c | 511$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.46 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8c…dfbebacked 9z | 68c | 510.53$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.07 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked 9z | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…c7afbacked 9z | 61c | 500$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e43…6583backed 9z | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Alliance | 46c | 499.99$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.5 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Alliance | 39c | 499.95$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.79 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed 9z | 74c | 485$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.28 | 202 | 42.1%85 W · 117 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked 9z | 66c | 469.7$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Alliance | 64c | 458.09$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.95 | 402 | 53.7%216 W · 186 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Alliance | 33c | 452.89$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.12 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Alliance | 31c | 451.48$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 224 | 47.8%107 W · 117 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe7…121bbacked 9z | 67c | 448.97$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.65 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Alliance | 45c | 447.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.84 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alliance | 36c | 443.97$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.82 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b8febacked 9z | 51c | 431.84$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.24 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781d…201bbacked Alliance | 44c | 424.24$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed 9z | 51c | 404.19$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.91 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2b…9e83backed 9z | 80c | 400$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed 9z | 53c | 384.55$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…d555backed Alliance | 15c | 366.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.88 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Alliance | 47c | 355.44$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.68 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed 9z | 68c | 354.69$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.19 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed Alliance | 42c | 353$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.53 | 456 | 46.9%214 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alliance | 33c | 352.45$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…2dcfbacked Alliance | 6c | 347.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.31 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ea…49e9backed 9z | 64c | 343$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.52 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 9z | 65c | 339.63$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2284…e326backed 9z | 61c | 328.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Alliance | 28c | 327.78$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.37 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Alliance | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x615d…bd5bbacked Alliance | 34c | 316.19$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alliance | 19c | 301.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.61 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group StageAlliance won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 WinnerAlliance won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: 9z (-3.5) vs Alliance (+3.5)Alliance won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 9z (-1.5) vs Alliance (+1.5)Alliance won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.