TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5220…96dd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
101
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Valorant at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT3743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Baltimore Orioles vs. Houston Astrosbacked Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.6
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.74
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padresbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$149.58
New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$246Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$246.03
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$394Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$362.08
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.12
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$203.64
Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$251.92
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.46
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankeesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$157.14
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.41
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$228.56
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankeesbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$363Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+83.4%+$302.97
Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.22
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick44cpaid-49.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.46
LoL: MIBR.LOS vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
LoL: Movistar KOI vs GAM Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
LoL: Team Secret vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$50.63
LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked AG.AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$49.23
LoL: ROSSMANN Centaurs vs Team Orange Gaming (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked ROSSMANN Centaurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+205.6%+$1,439.16
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Play-Inbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.97
All 13 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.9
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BIG (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.79
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,385.08
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winnerbacked EYEBALLERS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+215%+$322.44
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$188.1
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+461.2%+$922.39
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Luminosity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs MIBR (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$47.82
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.05
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.71
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick52cpaid+43.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+116.2%+$99.38
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$129
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$333.56
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+100%+$199.17
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.59
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$152.27
Canada vs. Morocco: Canada O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$593Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$696.59
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$347.46
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$283.47
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rome: Elizara Yaneva vs Martina Trevisanbacked Elizara Yaneva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.37
Swiss Open: Jerome Kym vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$45.79
Swedish Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Adolfo Vallejobacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Cordenons: Peter Makk vs Thiago Seyboth Wildbacked Thiago Seyboth Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Rome: Julia Riera vs Darja Semenistajabacked Darja Semenistaja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Rome: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Elizara Yanevabacked Oksana Selekhmeteva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munarbacked Dominic Stephan Stricker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$63.14
Iasi Open: Anna Bondar vs Sara Sorribes Tormobacked Sara Sorribes Tormo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Iasi: Valentin Royer vs Taro Danielbacked Valentin Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+64%+$64.02
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$883Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$1,123.93
All 10 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 17, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
Valorant — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.33
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-11.5)backed Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Summer League: Indiana Pacers vs. Toronto Raptorsbacked Toronto Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$360.23
NBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Detroit Pistonsbacked Detroit Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$490.42
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Rafael Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.