MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9198139a69951b7eb4c13e226533c4e4f34e634c019691c6bc326d77d3b2d348
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Pittsburgh Pirates, Washington Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $522,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $532,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $522,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 370 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 54c | 103,336$55,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,691.85 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 80,000$45,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,599.99 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals | 25c | 72,666$17,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,950.93 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Washington Nationals | 48c | 48,867$23,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,653.75 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Washington Nationals | 57c | 23,257$13,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,256.46 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 22,355$8,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500.02 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 20,943$11,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,149.58 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 20,216$9,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,938.82 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 18,086$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,309.05 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 56c | 13,396$7,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,914.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 12,929$9,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,499.94 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Washington Nationals | 50c | 9,911$4,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,944.68 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 9,023$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,143.26 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 6,992$3,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,985.35 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 6,198$3,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,977.48 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 6,196$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,407.75 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.45 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d6…ea7bbacked Washington Nationals | 1c | 5,084$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 13.8%15 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 5,078$2,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,777.23 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 4,863$2,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.11 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 3,949$2,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.69 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Washington Nationals | 51c | 3,235$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 2,926$2,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.9 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 2,844$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,564.02 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 2,578$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.49 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x387e…c514backed Washington Nationals | 49c | 2,571$1,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,272.14 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.23per pick | 59cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Washington Nationals | 1c | 2,133$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 2,010$1,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.31 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dec…53b0backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 1,923$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.95 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 1,913$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.37 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,860$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.47 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Washington Nationals | 34c | 1,803$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.07 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals | 54c | 1,744$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.24 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed Washington Nationals | 32c | 1,717$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Washington Nationals | 58c | 1,524$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.86 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…e87cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 41c | 1,461$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e0…2ffabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 39c | 1,391$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals | 25c | 1,250$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 78c | 1,185$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.65 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 1,153$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 1,009$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.96 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 820.76$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.27 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 811.14$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.27 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 805.72$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.11 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals | 55c | 776$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Washington Nationals | 59c | 714$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.06 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals | 26c | 694.83$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.8 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 682$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.23 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…6199backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 659.54$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.74 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 612.82$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 580.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 42c | 570.96$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.15 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Washington Nationals | 62c | 569.65$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.05 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb92…b221backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 567.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.07 | 379 | 44.3%168 W · 211 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 554.73$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.2 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 540.02$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.81 | 182 | 48.4%88 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Washington Nationals | 31c | 539.34$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.2 | 98 | 31.6%31 W · 67 L | -13.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Washington Nationals | 64c | 530$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.2 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19bd…ae36backed Washington Nationals | 15c | 516.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 186 | 52.7%98 W · 88 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 513.17$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.58 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Washington Nationals | 58c | 511.82$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.86 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84eb…869dbacked Washington Nationals | 32c | 500.99$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 499.94$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.97 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 467.44$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 462$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.34 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 458.97$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 442.97$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.93 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa384…3c9fbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 435$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.9 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 79c | 401.21$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 394.99$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.9 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 391.92$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.09 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 385.79$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.45 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Washington Nationals | 22c | 385.74$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.57 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 385.07$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.22 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…597abacked Washington Nationals | 52c | 382.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 87 | 29.9%26 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 47c | 381.12$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.19 | 259 | 50.2%130 W · 129 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked Washington Nationals | 48c | 369.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Washington Nationals | 55c | 364.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc6…1a49backed Washington Nationals | 29c | 347.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Washington Nationals | 47c | 337.88$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.81 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 46c | 333.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.27 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52de…8f92backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 144 | 69.4%100 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 58c | 319.99$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.21 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…2367backed Washington Nationals | 53c | 319.19$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 311.86$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.35 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 48c | 308.6$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.22 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Washington Nationals | 34c | 307.62$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 304.54$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.59 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 69c | 302$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 801 | 59.2%474 W · 327 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Washington Nationals | 54c | 298.15$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 45c | 290$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Washington Nationals | 57c | 288.37$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.21 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Washington Nationals | 39c | 283.51$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.86 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 49c | 274.36$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Washington Nationals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa81…44a9backed Washington Nationals | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 43c | 265$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.05 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.