MLB · resolved market
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x474935512e33aea11bcdffe7df724f33876fece00076eb68b582e74ff0ed9e2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $281,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e94…5ba1backed Over | 52c | 213,883$111,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,017.01 | 469 | 49%230 W · 239 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 48c | 57,299$27,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,430.3 | 283 | 50.9%144 W · 139 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 48c | 29,520$14,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,157.19 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 48c | 23,542$11,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,290.78 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 48c | 21,013$10,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,084.36 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 47c | 13,810$6,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,533.07 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 47c | 13,581$6,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,383.07 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 48c | 12,849$6,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,171.18 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd60…396cbacked Under | 47c | 6,555$3,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,080.79 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 51c | 6,475$3,287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,287.21 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 47c | 6,173$2,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,901.31 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 48c | 5,852$2,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,809 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 51c | 5,570$2,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,725.59 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 4,365$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.78 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 4,228$1,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,483.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Under | 47c | 3,528$1,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,658.08 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 48c | 3,005$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.45 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 49c | 2,638$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.29 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Under | 47c | 2,032$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.89 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Under | 47c | 2,024$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.29 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 50c | 1,790$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.13 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 47c | 1,662$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.14 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 47c | 1,235$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.3 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 48c | 1,216$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.55 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,188$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.75 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 1,127$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.22 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed Under | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Under | 48c | 1,028$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 48c | 1,026$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.39 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c8e…a316backed Under | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 226 | 38.5%87 W · 139 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Over | 53c | 934.3$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.12 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 48c | 890$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.23 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 47c | 865.92$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.62 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 846.6$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 399 | 48.1%192 W · 207 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 48c | 825.72$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.34 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 53c | 822$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.34 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Under | 47c | 688$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.36 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 10c | 686.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 62c | 659.03$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.22 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 48c | 624.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 47c | 622$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.34 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 596$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.95 | 1,521 | 48.6%739 W · 782 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f1…b386backed Under | 50c | 525$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Under | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…c969backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -63%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 70c | 471.89$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…e769backed Under | 47c | 426$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.22 | 122 | 62.3%76 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Under | 48c | 377.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 47c | 314$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.58 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 308$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.05 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 47c | 237$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 48c | 229.56$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Under | 48c | 216.33$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f8…7de3backed Over | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 381 | 42%160 W · 221 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 52c | 195$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a73…1c47backed Under | 13c | 192.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 188.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.37 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 382 | 52.1%199 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 372 | 56.5%210 W · 162 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17af…2a45backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed Under | 48c | 183.58$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.12 | 213 | 50.2%107 W · 106 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Under | 48c | 180$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.2 | 738 | 49.3%364 W · 374 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 66c | 176.91$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.95 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Under | 48c | 146.04$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.1 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Under | 48c | 123.42$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 416 | 37.5%156 W · 260 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 46c | 119.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 41c | 110$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.17 | 1,813 | 49.1%891 W · 922 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Under | 48c | 109.17$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.35 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 48c | 104.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 47c | 96.81$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 53c | 92.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 47c | 89.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 475 | 49.7%236 W · 239 L | +17.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ec…4c98backed Over | 53c | 86.13$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Under | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 57c | 78.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.95 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Under | 47c | 76.45$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc169…cb6abacked Over | 55c | 69.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 42c | 69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Under | 47c | 64.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 688 | 46.8%322 W · 366 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Over | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 161 | 44.1%71 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc29f…dc4ebacked Under | 48c | 58.42$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Under | 48c | 58.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 47c | 55.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsPittsburgh Pirates won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 11.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5Over won
- Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 13.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-4.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Pittsburgh Pirates won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Washington NationalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.