MLB · resolved market
MLB All-Star Game
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5a8776a27758662c0cee968ef5b65c5f9ca03dcfc1ccae3c0a70e8b102d6fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- American Leagueof American League, National League
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $621,345
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $621,345 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed American League | 46c | 121,940$56,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65,842.26 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked National League | 50c | 69,902$34,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,607.78 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed National League | 27c | 65,906$18,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,055.51 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed National League | 40c | 59,838$23,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,694.4 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed American League | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,750.06 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed American League | 45c | 20,510$9,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,290.68 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed National League | 43c | 20,300$8,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,712.73 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed National League | 8c | 16,490$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.78 | 233 | 51.1%119 W · 114 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed American League | 55c | 13,439$7,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,004.14 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed National League | 55c | 12,059$6,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,632.67 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked American League | 46c | 10,402$4,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,650.59 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed National League | 55c | 10,275$5,651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,651.02 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed National League | 29c | 10,090$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.76 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd7…89aabacked National League | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked National League | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.95 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed National League | 55c | 9,383$5,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,160.51 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb944…15a3backed National League | 55c | 7,000$3,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,850 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed American League | 45c | 6,706$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d621backed National League | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked American League | 46c | 5,435$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,934.9 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd75f…ddcbbacked National League | 44c | 5,293$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,337.65 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked American League | 45c | 5,022$2,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.84 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed National League | 22c | 4,508$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked National League | 56c | 4,464$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed American League | 45c | 4,449$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,449.23 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd501…b86ebacked National League | 24c | 4,098$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.7 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.26per pick | 52cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9340…e829backed National League | 56c | 3,849$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.23 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed National League | 24c | 3,517$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.6 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x552b…f8bcbacked National League | 1c | 3,481$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8707…8b15backed National League | 55c | 3,202$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.24 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…fa78backed American League | 45c | 3,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,659.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed National League | 55c | 2,387$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.06 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked American League | 73c | 2,024$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.48 | 160 | 53.1%85 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed National League | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44cd…473bbacked American League | 78c | 1,988$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.66 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed National League | 56c | 1,963$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.32 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked American League | 46c | 1,957$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.52 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed National League | 55c | 1,842$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.08 | 273 | 51.3%140 W · 133 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…0432backed National League | 55c | 1,518$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$834.87 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked National League | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.97 | 328 | 50.3%165 W · 163 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed American League | 46c | 1,482$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.12 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed American League | 44c | 1,344$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.95 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked National League | 51c | 1,253$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed American League | 45c | 1,111$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.52 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cab…f595backed American League | 77c | 1,091$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.91 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…26cebacked National League | 55c | 1,063$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.62 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa79a…d72abacked National League | 56c | 1,054$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.37 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked National League | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 167 | 53.9%90 W · 77 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked National League | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked National League | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.97 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed National League | 55c | 999.94$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed American League | 45c | 922.24$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked National League | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed National League | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed American League | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.57 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed National League | 46c | 852$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389 | 211 | 46.4%98 W · 113 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed American League | 46c | 846.43$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.16 | 434 | 59%256 W · 178 L | +19.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed American League | 45c | 839.96$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.78 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e73…b728backed National League | 55c | 814.94$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce3…f779backed American League | 72c | 813.21$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…9565backed National League | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed National League | 54c | 723.03$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.77 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed American League | 57c | 709.78$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.71 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…5a9ebacked National League | 48c | 691.47$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 342 | 55.3%189 W · 153 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed American League | 45c | 679.36$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.65 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78b0…9f1abacked National League | 55c | 636.36$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 390 | 47.4%185 W · 205 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…38e5backed American League | 45c | 633.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.33 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed American League | 45c | 627.05$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.15 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed National League | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 28.6%28 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed National League | 15c | 610.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed American League | 47c | 587$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.61 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f5…42cabacked National League | 38c | 579.03$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.98 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…b4a5backed American League | 57c | 537.42$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.42 | 206 | 57.8%119 W · 87 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed National League | 2c | 537.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed National League | 56c | 535.71$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a4…8c2ebacked American League | 46c | 534.98$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.89 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be1…aa70backed National League | 26c | 523.42$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.17 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked National League | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc581…0f24backed American League | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked National League | 28c | 499.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed National League | 17c | 486.04$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.72 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed American League | 46c | 471$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.34 | 449 | 53.7%241 W · 208 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed National League | 45c | 470$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…939ebacked National League | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed National League | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 431 | 53.6%231 W · 200 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…7ef6backed American League | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed American League | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed American League | 46c | 420.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.03 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9013…4750backed National League | 48c | 415.04$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed National League | 56c | 410.71$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed National League | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd47…17dfbacked American League | 77c | 390.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.74 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…8898backed American League | 45c | 390$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 1,205 | 43%518 W · 687 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3824backed American League | 45c | 385.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.27 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed National League | 48c | 375$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed National League | 28c | 371.1$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.96 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed National League | 28c | 358.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 33.3%41 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…96ddbacked National League | 28c | 351.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd76…6034backed National League | 44c | 339.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked National League | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MLB All-Star Gamethis page
- American vs. National: O/U 10.5Under won
- American vs. National: O/U 7.5Under won
- American vs. National: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: American (-2.5)American won
- Spread: American (-3.5)American won
- Spread: National (-1.5)American won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.