TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7089…0432

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 52 out of 100; worst NBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.31
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$36.96
Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$63.34
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$10.44
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.16
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$181.39
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)backed Uruguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$272Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$128.16
Spread: Japan (-2.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$401.99
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.89
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Thunder vs. Lakers backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
LeBron James: Points O/U 21.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+150%+$75
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.33
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+87.3%+$25.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLB All-Star Gamebacked National League · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.87
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athleticsbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.86
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+91.6%+$157.1
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$16.57
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+103.8%+$15.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.