TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Athletics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Athletics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$503,133
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$538,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $503,133 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 291 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers57c62,699$35,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,239.224,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Athletics49c33,000$16,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,169.9877053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c23,044$11,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,288.572,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c21,057$10,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,107.4850153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Athletics47c20,502$9,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,635.9631149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fc0…847dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c19,981$8,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,317.677042.9%30 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c15,249$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,472.021,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Athletics43c14,550$6,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,219.6879442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Athletics48c12,958$6,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,237.65,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Athletics50c11,868$5,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,897.310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Athletics1c10,797$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4714724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Athletics0c10,592$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4123351.1%119 W · 114 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…e6ddbacked Athletics48c10,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,8005743.9%25 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xde49…fe85backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c10,000$5,391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,608.748451%247 W · 237 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Athletics47c10,000$4,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,699.9636246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Athletics50c9,176$4,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,543.564,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics48c8,365$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.272,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Athletics3c7,259$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6310913.8%15 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick14cpaid-35.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c6,551$3,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,152.7875248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Athletics41c6,402$2,615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,614.7995045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers63c6,204$3,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,306.418,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Athletics48c5,106$2,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450.9333554%181 W · 154 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Athletics53c5,094$2,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,679.8711,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics7c4,303$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.514,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6193…5b80backed Los Angeles Dodgers75c4,244$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.5523146.8%108 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c3,990$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,924.8589153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics52c3,893$2,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,035.71,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Athletics18c3,632$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.8582636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers69c3,623$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.1961351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Athletics50c3,369$1,684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.2929656.1%166 W · 130 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeff8…68ebbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c3,203$1,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,505.532642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418d…88a3backed Athletics49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47012255.7%68 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c3,000$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.9824639%96 W · 150 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Athletics34c2,773$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9501,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5400…8a89backed Athletics2c2,661$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66681.5%1 W · 67 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-81.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…b9dbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c2,628$1,402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.882152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Athletics3c2,616$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.33929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x595d…9ad0backed Athletics21c2,381$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012342.3%52 W · 71 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Athletics49c2,362$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.852,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers43c2,326$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.581,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Athletics22c2,273$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50066050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Athletics2c2,147$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.517417.2%30 W · 144 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick14cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Athletics48c2,074$1,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.916,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Athletics49c1,999$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.742,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers78c1,984$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.468,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics33c1,908$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.593,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics2c1,828$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.171,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d9…65c9backed Athletics24c1,827$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.57425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked Athletics50c1,780$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89017853.4%95 W · 83 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Athletics28c1,475$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.0891252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f29…f03dbacked Athletics34c1,339$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45047545.9%218 W · 257 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Athletics39c1,199$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.081,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Los Angeles Dodgers73c1,139$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.2236759.1%217 W · 150 L+26.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd71…011cbacked Athletics2c1,126$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Athletics52c1,057$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.4471850.1%360 W · 358 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c1,048$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.1221842.7%93 W · 125 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x102c…664bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c1,037$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.533560%21 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6451…b57abacked Athletics48c1,031$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.6814841.2%61 W · 87 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2354…20d0backed Athletics3c1,022$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.964043.5%14 W · 390 L-19.4wins-0.05per pick8cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50098149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics25c1,005$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.31,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Athletics46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4601,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480e…90c7backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c943.4$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.418860.1%113 W · 75 L+12.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers77c927.82$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.411759%69 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Athletics55c909.09$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004531.1%14 W · 31 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa689…15fcbacked Athletics46c907.81$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.5924346.9%114 W · 129 L-1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Athletics3c900$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.726618.4%49 W · 217 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-29.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Athletics50c860.82$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4816355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a5a…597abacked Athletics22c823.53$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1808729.9%26 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f30…3aeebacked Athletics47c783.26$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.091752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ff…e13ebacked Athletics12c771.99$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0512428.2%35 W · 89 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-34.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9cc0…7faabacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c729.8$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.4121347.9%102 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Athletics21c714.29$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032850.3%165 W · 163 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c692$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.081,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x526b…5269backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c678.28$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.0711423.7%27 W · 87 L-13.6wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-29.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf39d…aa9dbacked Athletics5c611.11$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339424.5%23 W · 71 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x104f…04aabacked Athletics46c567.2$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.9111632.8%38 W · 78 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Athletics48c559.75$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7185949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Athletics50c545.88$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.12,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50ee…a1ffbacked Athletics47c529.96$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.081250%6 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc480…937abacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c523.26$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.2611129.7%33 W · 78 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Athletics49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24520848.6%101 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b74…0482backed Athletics44c491.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.752228%146 W · 376 L-57.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-38.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb0ee…2e1dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c486.24$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.9412940.3%52 W · 77 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Athletics50c484.52$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.2657548%276 W · 299 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x702e…ff44backed Athletics49c465.06$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.926444.3%117 W · 147 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Athletics48c456.11$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.142,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Athletics48c436.1$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.5251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers55c433.2$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.375,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9aca…61fdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c423.31$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.5927454.4%149 W · 125 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc822…650bbacked Athletics48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006756.7%38 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Athletics49c408$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.921,13746.3%526 W · 611 L+36.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Athletics49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19634648.6%168 W · 178 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c398.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.0685148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers65c392.6$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.15,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Athletics48c375.88$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.427447.3%35 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb43e…8200backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c352.39$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6722744.9%102 W · 125 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6383…6e28backed Athletics51c337.63$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.7979255.6%440 W · 352 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9a0…c52bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers48c332.44$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4423145.5%105 W · 126 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.